Auburn

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.6%Auburn

47.4%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -111

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAuburn 81

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreBaylor 83

Team Comparison

AuburnMetricBaylor

64.4MMH Power Index58.9

118.8Offensive Efficiency116.7

113.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

5.8Net Efficiency7.2

7.5Strength of Schedule4.0

8.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

69.8Tempo69.7

53.1%Effective FG%54.4%

14.5%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.5%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

43.8%Free Throw Rate34.8%

4.1Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–58.9), offensive efficiency (118.8–116.7), strength of schedule (7.5–4.0), recent form (8.0–-2.2).

Baylor COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.0), net efficiency (7.2–5.8), shooting efficiency (54.4–53.1).

Final

Auburn

88—88

Baylor

Tied • 80.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

AuburnTEAM STATBaylor

30-66FG26-60

45.5%FG%43.3%

9-203PT9-19

45.0%3PT%47.4%

19-27FT27-34

70.4%FT%79.4%

41Rebounds38

14Offensive Rebounds14

19Assists10

19Turnovers15

5Steals10

10Blocks4

36Fouls22

Player Box Score

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aden Holloway	G	27	6-15	4-8	3-5	3	6	0	1	19
Johni Broome	Forward	26	4-10	2-3	6-10	11	2	0	1	16
Denver Jones	Guard	24	4-10	3-5	2-2	1	2	1	0	13
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	12	2-4	0-0	3-3	2	0	2	0	7
K.D. Johnson	Guard	16	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Tre Donaldson	G	13	2-3	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	6
Dylan Cardwell	Center	14	2-3	0-0	1-3	4	4	1	5	5
Jaylin Williams	Forward	26	2-6	0-1	0-0	6	1	0	1	4
Chris Moore	Forward	23	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	4
Chaney Johnson	Forward	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Lior Berman	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kobe Walter	Guard	34	7-13	4-7	10-10	5	0	0	0	28
RayJ Dennis	Guard	29	6-10	1-1	2-2	4	2	2	0	15
Jalen Bridges	Forward	31	4-10	2-6	3-5	8	2	2	1	13
Langston Love	G	20	3-9	2-4	2-3	2	1	1	0	10
Yves Missi	Center	18	3-5	0-0	4-6	1	0	2	2	10
Jayden Nunn	Guard	29	1-8	0-1	5-6	6	3	3	1	7
Josh Ojianwuna	F	16	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	3
Miro Little	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Caleb Lohner	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.5Possessions80.5

109.3Offensive Efficiency109.3

109.3Defensive Efficiency109.3

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

52.3%Effective FG%50.8%

55.8%True Shooting %57.8%

22.7%Turnover Rate19.4%

40.9%Free Throw Rate56.7%

30.3%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 80.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.