New Mexico

26-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%New Mexico

78.4%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -363

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 70

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 78

Team Comparison

New MexicoMetricSaint Mary's

63.7MMH Power Index70.7

114.8Offensive Efficiency116.7

100.2Defensive Efficiency97.4

14.6Net Efficiency19.3

2.0Strength of Schedule3.0

8.3Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

70.7Tempo66.3

53.7%Effective FG%53.1%

14.8%Turnover Rate16.6%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

36.5%Free Throw Rate36.8%

10.3Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–63.7), offensive efficiency (116.7–114.8), defensive efficiency (97.4–100.2), net efficiency (19.3–14.6).

New Mexico COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.7–53.1), ball security (14.8–16.6).

Final

New Mexico

58—72

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 14 • 67.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

New MexicoTEAM STATSaint Mary's

23-62FG25-55

37.1%FG%45.5%

4-123PT6-17

33.3%3PT%35.3%

8-15FT16-25

53.3%FT%64.0%

37Rebounds41

14Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists13

13Turnovers13

8Steals8

2Blocks6

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	30	5-12	1-1	4-6	2	5	3	0	15
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	28	5-11	0-0	1-5	13	1	0	1	11
JT Toppin	F	16	4-6	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	1	8
Jamal Mashburn Jr.	Guard	33	3-16	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Tru Washington	G	24	2-6	0-1	1-1	2	1	2	0	5
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	22	1-4	1-2	2-3	2	0	1	0	5
Quinton Webb	G	14	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Jemarl Baker Jr.	Guard	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Sebastian Forsling	Center	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Isaac Mushila	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Braden Appelhans	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	34	9-19	5-10	2-4	4	2	1	0	25
Harry Wessels	C	14	4-6	0-0	4-5	5	0	0	1	12
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	29	2-9	0-2	5-8	3	5	3	0	9
Mitchell Saxen	Center	23	2-5	0-0	3-4	7	2	0	3	7
Joshua Jefferson	F	26	2-3	0-1	2-4	2	1	4	1	6
Mason Forbes	Forward	14	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Alex Ducas	Guard	25	1-4	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	1	3
Luke Barrett	Forward	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	7	1	0	0	2
Jordan Ross	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Chris Howell	G	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Rory Hawke	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Bennett	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kevin Gad	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.0Possessions67.0

86.6Offensive Efficiency107.5

107.5Defensive Efficiency86.6

-20.9Net Efficiency20.9

40.3%Effective FG%50.9%

42.0%True Shooting %53.8%

19.1%Turnover Rate19.7%

24.2%Free Throw Rate45.5%

19.4%3-Point Rate30.9%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.