Arizona

36-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Arizona

67.0%Duke

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -203

Duke

35-3

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona 74

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreDuke 79

Team Comparison

ArizonaMetricDuke

79.9MMH Power Index81.7

120.3Offensive Efficiency122.2

96.9Defensive Efficiency95.2

23.4Net Efficiency27.0

8.0Strength of Schedule7.8

17.0Last 10 Net Efficiency18.7

71.6Tempo66.8

55.0%Effective FG%56.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.9%

37.8%Offensive Rebound %38.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%

16.8Average Margin18.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–79.9), offensive efficiency (122.2–120.3), defensive efficiency (95.2–96.9), net efficiency (27.0–23.4).

Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (8.0–7.8), ball security (15.1–15.9), free throw rate (45.3–39.0).

Final

Arizona

78—73

Duke

Arizona by 5 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArizonaTEAM STATDuke

30-65FG28-65

46.2%FG%43.1%

6-173PT8-23

35.3%3PT%34.8%

12-18FT9-12

66.7%FT%75.0%

45Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists14

17Turnovers14

8Steals9

5Blocks3

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keshad Johnson	Forward	34	6-14	1-4	1-1	8	2	1	1	14
Oumar Ballo	Center	25	6-12	0-0	1-3	5	0	1	1	13
Kylan Boswell	G	33	4-7	2-4	2-2	8	5	2	1	12
Pelle Larsson	Guard	27	4-7	2-3	2-2	6	2	0	0	12
Caleb Love	Guard	33	3-10	1-5	4-4	3	3	2	1	11
KJ Lewis	G	14	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	2	0	0	6
Motiejus Krivas	C	12	2-6	0-0	2-3	6	1	1	1	6
Jaden Bradley	G	22	2-5	0-1	0-2	2	2	1	0	4

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	31	10-20	3-5	2-3	8	0	2	1	25
Jeremy Roach	Guard	39	6-14	3-5	2-2	3	3	2	0	17
Mark Mitchell	G	30	4-10	0-4	1-2	5	1	0	2	9
Jared McCain	Guard	29	3-8	1-3	2-2	4	5	3	0	9
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	38	3-9	1-6	1-1	1	5	2	0	8
Christian Reeves	C	2	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Sean Stewart	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Caleb Foster	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ryan Young	Center	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

102.4Offensive Efficiency95.8

95.8Defensive Efficiency102.4

6.6Net Efficiency-6.6

50.8%Effective FG%49.2%

53.0%True Shooting %51.6%

22.5%Turnover Rate18.3%

27.7%Free Throw Rate18.5%

26.2%3-Point Rate35.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Arizona won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.