Yale

23-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.0%Yale

85.0%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -13.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -567

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreYale 69

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreGonzaga 82

Team Comparison

YaleMetricGonzaga

65.4MMH Power Index76.4

121.4Offensive Efficiency119.7

105.8Defensive Efficiency94.0

15.6Net Efficiency25.7

1.6Strength of Schedule3.0

8.9Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

64.5Tempo70.4

56.8%Effective FG%55.7%

13.9%Turnover Rate13.6%

33.3%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

34.4%Free Throw Rate31.5%

10.1Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–65.4), defensive efficiency (94.0–105.8), net efficiency (25.7–15.6), strength of schedule (3.0–1.6).

Yale COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (121.4–119.7), shooting efficiency (56.8–55.7), free throw rate (34.4–31.5).

Final

Yale

71—86

Gonzaga

Gonzaga by 15 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

YaleTEAM STATGonzaga

24-59FG32-64

40.7%FG%50.0%

9-243PT7-19

37.5%3PT%36.8%

14-14FT15-21

100.0%FT%71.4%

28Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists13

11Turnovers10

8Steals9

1Blocks—

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Yale

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Poulakidas	Guard	26	7-11	4-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	18
August Mahoney	Guard	27	2-11	2-8	6-6	2	1	0	0	12
Bez Mbeng	Guard	34	4-10	2-7	0-0	2	3	3	0	10
Nick Townsend	F	24	4-6	0-1	2-2	5	1	1	0	10
Matt Knowling	Forward	32	4-11	0-1	1-1	7	2	1	0	9
Yassine Gharram	G	18	3-3	1-1	1-1	0	3	0	0	8
Casey Simmons	G	15	0-2	0-0	4-4	0	1	1	0	4
Danny Wolf	Center	17	0-4	0-1	0-0	6	2	1	1	0
Samson Aletan	C	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Braden Huff	F	20	7-10	2-3	3-3	9	0	0	19
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	40	7-17	1-3	1-2	4	7	1	16
Nolan Hickman	Guard	39	7-18	1-8	0-0	2	3	1	15
Anton Watson	Forward	33	3-4	0-0	5-8	12	2	2	11
Graham Ike	F	20	4-6	0-0	3-4	3	0	3	11
Dusty Stromer	G	28	2-4	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	8
Ben Gregg	Forward	16	2-3	1-2	1-2	5	0	1	6
Junseok Yeo	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Luka Krajnovic	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency123.0

123.0Defensive Efficiency101.6

-21.5Net Efficiency21.5

48.3%Effective FG%55.5%

54.1%True Shooting %58.1%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.3%

23.7%Free Throw Rate32.8%

40.7%3-Point Rate29.7%

1.36Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.