San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.2%San Diego State

71.8%BYU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBYU -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBYU -255

BYU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreBYU 81

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricBYU

60.1MMH Power Index63.9

110.3Offensive Efficiency118.3

99.3Defensive Efficiency106.8

11.0Net Efficiency11.5

3.8Strength of Schedule6.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

70.8Tempo70.6

53.2%Effective FG%54.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

39.6%Free Throw Rate35.4%

7.8Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

BYU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBYU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–60.1), offensive efficiency (118.3–110.3), net efficiency (11.5–11.0), strength of schedule (6.5–3.8).

San Diego State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.3–106.8), recent form (0.4–-2.2), free throw rate (39.6–35.4).

Final

San Diego State

65—74

BYU

BYU by 9 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATBYU

26-58FG26-61

44.8%FG%42.6%

5-183PT10-27

27.8%3PT%37.0%

8-13FT12-16

61.5%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists13

13Turnovers14

11Steals6

3Blocks2

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaedon LeDee	Forward	32	9-16	0-3	3-5	7	1	1	1	21
Reese Waters	Guard	36	5-11	1-3	4-4	4	2	2	2	15
Lamont Butler	Guard	32	3-11	2-4	1-2	0	3	0	0	9
Darrion Trammell	Guard	22	3-6	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Elijah Saunders	F	25	3-7	0-2	0-0	4	2	4	0	6
Micah Parrish	Guard	27	2-4	1-3	0-1	6	1	1	0	5
Jay Pal	Forward	15	1-3	0-1	0-1	2	1	1	0	2
Miles Heide	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
BJ Davis	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

BYU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dallin Hall	G	25	6-13	4-8	2-3	2	2	1	0	18
Fousseyni Traore	Center	30	5-9	0-0	2-2	8	4	0	1	12
Richie Saunders	G	22	3-4	0-1	6-6	3	1	1	0	12
Jaxson Robinson	Guard	17	5-10	2-5	0-0	4	1	1	1	12
Spencer Johnson	Guard	33	4-11	2-5	0-2	7	3	0	0	10
Trevin Knell	Guard	30	2-7	1-4	2-3	4	1	2	0	7
Trey Stewart	Guard	15	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Noah Waterman	Forward	18	0-3	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Aly Khalifa	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

92.3Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.1Defensive Efficiency92.3

-12.8Net Efficiency12.8

49.1%Effective FG%50.8%

50.6%True Shooting %53.9%

18.5%Turnover Rate19.8%

22.4%Free Throw Rate26.2%

31.0%3-Point Rate44.3%

0.77Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

BYU won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.