Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.5%Indiana State

96.5%Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama -20.7

PROJECTED TOTAL165.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama -2757

Alabama

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 72

Projected Total165.4

Projected ScoreAlabama 93

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricAlabama

44.4MMH Power Index69.5

104.7Offensive Efficiency121.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency111.2

-1.3Net Efficiency10.4

0.1Strength of Schedule9.4

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

70.3Tempo74.7

53.6%Effective FG%54.9%

19.5%Turnover Rate13.0%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

28.8%Free Throw Rate36.9%

-0.9Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.5–44.4), offensive efficiency (121.6–104.7), net efficiency (10.4–-1.3), strength of schedule (9.4–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–111.2).

Final

Indiana State

80—102

Alabama

Alabama by 22 • 74.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATAlabama

27-53FG33-64

50.9%FG%51.6%

10-263PT13-23

38.5%3PT%56.5%

16-26FT23-27

61.5%FT%85.2%

25Rebounds40

4Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists14

13Turnovers11

8Steals6

2Blocks7

24Fouls18

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Swope	Guard	30	6-13	4-6	1-3	2	2	2	0	17
Ryan Conwell	G	29	5-13	4-8	2-2	10	0	3	1	16
Julian Larry	Guard	37	5-8	1-3	4-5	3	2	1	0	15
Jayson Kent	Forward	31	6-8	0-2	2-4	4	0	0	1	14
Jake Wolfe	Guard	17	3-3	0-0	3-6	1	1	0	0	9
Derek Vorst	C	19	2-3	1-2	3-4	2	0	0	0	8
Eli Shetlar	G	4	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Xavier Bledson	Guard	22	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	5	1	0	0
Masen Miller	Guard	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Estrada	Guard	32	9-16	6-8	3-3	5	6	2	1	27
Mark Sears	Guard	32	6-10	3-4	9-10	3	3	0	0	24
Grant Nelson	Forward	29	7-10	0-2	6-6	8	2	1	1	20
Jarin Stevenson	F	18	3-5	1-2	3-3	4	0	0	1	10
Latrell Wrightsell	G	21	3-8	2-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	8
Mohamed Wague	F	10	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	2	6
Rylan Griffen	G	25	1-2	1-2	0-1	1	0	0	2	3
Nick Pringle	F	12	0-3	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	0	2
Sam Walters	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Mo Dioubate	F	5	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Davin Cosby Jr.	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Max Scharnowski	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.1Possessions74.1

108.0Offensive Efficiency137.7

137.7Defensive Efficiency108.0

-29.7Net Efficiency29.7

60.4%Effective FG%61.7%

61.2%True Shooting %66.4%

17.5%Turnover Rate14.9%

49.1%Free Throw Rate42.2%

49.1%3-Point Rate35.9%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Alabama won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 74.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.