Oakland

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.0%Oakland

96.0%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -21.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -2400

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOakland 70

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreIllinois 92

Team Comparison

OaklandMetricIllinois

52.6MMH Power Index76.5

115.7Offensive Efficiency125.0

114.5Defensive Efficiency103.3

1.2Net Efficiency21.7

2.1Strength of Schedule6.7

-1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

71.4Tempo66.5

53.3%Effective FG%54.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

38.5%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.9Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–52.6), offensive efficiency (125.0–115.7), defensive efficiency (103.3–114.5), net efficiency (21.7–1.2).

Oakland COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (38.5–33.8).

Final

Oakland

53—64

Illinois

Illinois by 11 • 62.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OaklandTEAM STATIllinois

21-56FG26-55

37.5%FG%47.3%

5-203PT4-16

25.0%3PT%25.0%

6-9FT8-16

66.7%FT%50.0%

32Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds9

4Assists13

10Turnovers9

7Steals3

1Blocks2

16Fouls8

Player Box Score

Oakland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Townsend	Forward	36	7-18	0-1	5-5	10	0	3	0	19
Chris Conway	Forward	26	4-7	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	0	9
Blake Lampman	Guard	33	3-11	2-8	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Jack Gohlke	Guard	37	2-6	2-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Tuburu Naivalurua	F	11	2-3	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	4
DQ Cole	Guard	16	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Isaiah Jones	F	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Tone Hunter	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Rocket Watts	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Osei Price	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aundre Polk	Forward	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	37	5-12	2-6	3-5	2	5	3	0	15
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	28	5-9	1-3	2-3	10	1	0	1	13
Ty Rodgers	G	25	5-8	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	10
Dain Dainja	Forward	19	5-8	0-0	0-3	7	0	0	1	10
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	28	3-5	0-0	2-2	8	5	0	0	8
Marcus Domask	Forward	28	3-7	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Justin Harmon	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Luke Goode	Forward	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.5Possessions62.5

84.8Offensive Efficiency102.4

102.4Defensive Efficiency84.8

-17.6Net Efficiency17.6

42.0%Effective FG%50.9%

44.0%True Shooting %51.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.4%

16.1%Free Throw Rate29.1%

35.7%3-Point Rate29.1%

0.40Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Illinois won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 62.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.