Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.8%Weber State

94.2%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -18.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1624

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 67

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 85

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricSaint Mary's

50.2MMH Power Index70.7

113.6Offensive Efficiency116.7

108.2Defensive Efficiency97.4

5.4Net Efficiency19.3

-3.4Strength of Schedule3.0

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

71.5Tempo66.3

52.6%Effective FG%53.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.6%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

38.3%Free Throw Rate36.8%

3.9Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (116.7–113.6), defensive efficiency (97.4–108.2), net efficiency (19.3–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.5–16.6), free throw rate (38.3–36.8).

Final

Weber State

61—57

Saint Mary's

Weber State by 4 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATSaint Mary's

23-57FG22-55

40.4%FG%40.0%

6-213PT5-27

28.6%3PT%18.5%

9-11FT8-12

81.8%FT%66.7%

26Rebounds41

5Offensive Rebounds12

6Assists15

9Turnovers15

7Steals1

—Blocks5

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dillon Jones	Forward	40	11-20	2-4	5-5	10	1	1	29
Blaise Threatt	Guard	21	4-7	0-2	1-2	1	3	4	9
Steven Verplancken	Guard	32	2-8	2-5	2-2	2	1	0	8
Alex Tew	Center	28	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	8
Dyson Koehler	Forward	33	2-11	2-7	1-2	4	0	1	7
KJ Cunningham	Guard	25	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0
Handje Tamba	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Viljami Vartiainen	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aidan Mahaney	G	38	4-14	2-10	1-3	0	3	0	0	11
Harry Wessels	C	16	5-6	0-0	1-1	6	0	0	2	11
Alex Ducas	Guard	27	3-10	2-7	2-2	5	2	0	0	10
Mitchell Saxen	Center	24	3-5	0-0	2-2	6	1	0	2	8
Joshua Jefferson	F	24	3-9	0-4	1-1	8	2	1	0	7
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	29	2-7	0-4	0-0	3	5	0	0	4
Mason Forbes	Forward	16	1-2	0-0	1-3	4	1	0	1	3
Chris Howell	G	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Luke Barrett	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

93.8Offensive Efficiency87.7

87.7Defensive Efficiency93.8

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

45.6%Effective FG%44.5%

49.0%True Shooting %47.0%

13.6%Turnover Rate23.5%

19.3%Free Throw Rate21.8%

36.8%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Weber State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.