Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.9%Old Dominion

95.1%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -20.0

PROJECTED TOTAL167.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -1941

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 74

Projected Total167.6

Projected ScoreArkansas 94

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricArkansas

47.2MMH Power Index69.3

107.4Offensive Efficiency122.2

109.8Defensive Efficiency109.8

-2.4Net Efficiency12.4

-0.1Strength of Schedule8.6

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.9Tempo73.8

50.9%Effective FG%56.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate12.2%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-1.7Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–47.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–107.4), net efficiency (12.4–-2.4), strength of schedule (8.6–-0.1).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.1–3.4).

Final

Old Dominion

77—86

Arkansas

Arkansas by 9 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATArkansas

31-71FG30-59

43.7%FG%50.8%

11-243PT8-19

45.8%3PT%42.1%

4-5FT18-29

80.0%FT%62.1%

39Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists15

10Turnovers4

3Steals3

1Blocks6

22Fouls12

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaunce Jenkins	Guard	36	8-19	3-6	2-2	7	3	0	0	21
Devin Ceaser	G	15	8-12	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	18
R.J. Blakney	Forward	22	5-6	3-4	1-1	4	1	0	1	14
Tyrone Williams	Guard	21	3-8	1-2	1-2	4	1	0	0	8
Bryce Baker	G	19	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Vasean Allette	G	23	2-11	0-3	0-0	4	5	2	0	4
Dani Pounds	F	21	2-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	4
Leeroy Odiahi	F	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jason Wade	Guard	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Imo Essien	Guard	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
El Ellis	Guard	34	7-11	1-2	2-4	3	8	1	0	17
Davonte Davis	Guard	37	6-11	1-4	3-6	5	2	1	0	16
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	29	6-7	0-0	3-5	10	1	0	1	15
Khalif Battle	Guard	21	3-6	2-3	5-6	2	1	0	0	13
Trevon Brazile	F	31	3-7	2-4	3-6	4	2	1	4	11
Tramon Mark	G	21	2-7	1-3	2-2	6	1	0	0	7
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	13	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Chandler Lawson	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Jalen Graham	Forward	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Layden Blocker	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

109.8Offensive Efficiency122.7

122.7Defensive Efficiency109.8

-12.8Net Efficiency12.8

51.4%Effective FG%57.6%

52.5%True Shooting %59.1%

14.0%Turnover Rate5.8%

7.0%Free Throw Rate49.2%

33.8%3-Point Rate32.2%

1.40Assist / Turnover3.75

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.