Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.4%Villanova

44.6%Pennsylvania

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -124

Pennsylvania

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 76

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScorePennsylvania 75

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricPennsylvania

59.4MMH Power Index52.9

114.7Offensive Efficiency108.6

105.9Defensive Efficiency106.4

8.8Net Efficiency2.2

4.4Strength of Schedule1.9

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.3

67.3Tempo69.9

53.9%Effective FG%50.9%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

31.4%Free Throw Rate36.3%

5.9Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–52.9), offensive efficiency (114.7–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.9–106.4), net efficiency (8.8–2.2).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.3–-1.1), free throw rate (36.3–31.4).

Final

Villanova

72—76

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania by 4 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATPennsylvania

22-63FG24-47

34.9%FG%51.1%

9-333PT7-17

27.3%3PT%41.2%

19-22FT21-34

86.4%FT%61.8%

35Rebounds38

15Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists11

7Turnovers14

8Steals2

1Blocks5

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Moore	Guard	35	7-18	4-11	7-8	7	3	1	1	25
Jordan Longino	Guard	29	4-8	1-4	5-5	1	0	1	0	14
Eric Dixon	Forward	32	4-11	2-4	2-2	9	0	0	0	12
Tyler Burton	Forward	27	2-6	1-3	2-3	7	2	0	0	7
TJ Bamba	Guard	24	2-9	0-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Mark Armstrong	Guard	17	2-5	0-2	1-2	0	0	4	0	5
Brendan Hausen	G	17	1-6	1-5	0-0	0	0	2	0	3
Hakim Hart	Guard	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Lance Ware	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chris Arcidiacono	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Perkins	G	36	5-13	3-5	9-12	6	1	0	1	22
Ed Holland III	G	19	4-6	2-3	2-4	5	3	0	0	12
Clark Slajchert	Guard	37	4-11	0-4	3-4	5	4	1	0	11
Cam Thrower	G	26	3-5	2-4	3-4	2	1	0	0	11
Nick Spinoso	Forward	24	5-8	0-1	0-2	5	1	0	2	10
George Smith	Guard	26	1-1	0-0	3-6	6	0	1	1	5
Andrew Laczkowski	Guard	16	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	3
Johnnie Walter	F	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency114.5

114.5Defensive Efficiency108.4

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

42.1%Effective FG%58.5%

49.0%True Shooting %60.2%

10.7%Turnover Rate20.8%

34.9%Free Throw Rate72.3%

52.4%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.86Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Pennsylvania won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.