Duke

35-3

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.4%Duke

30.6%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDuke -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDuke -227

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuke 76

Projected Total147.2

Projected ScoreMichigan State 71

Team Comparison

DukeMetricMichigan State

81.7MMH Power Index69.8

122.2Offensive Efficiency117.0

95.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

27.0Net Efficiency15.5

7.8Strength of Schedule7.2

18.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

66.8Tempo67.3

56.9%Effective FG%54.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

38.2%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

39.0%Free Throw Rate36.6%

18.0Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Duke HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDuke holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (81.7–69.8), offensive efficiency (122.2–117.0), defensive efficiency (95.2–101.5), net efficiency (27.0–15.5).

Final

Duke

74—65

Michigan State

Duke by 9 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DukeTEAM STATMichigan State

22-49FG26-63

44.9%FG%41.3%

6-223PT6-19

27.3%3PT%31.6%

24-30FT7-12

80.0%FT%58.3%

36Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists12

13Turnovers13

6Steals5

5Blocks6

16Fouls23

Player Box Score

Duke

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Foster	G	29	7-8	4-5	0-0	4	1	0	1	18
Kyle Filipowski	Forward	31	5-13	0-4	5-7	8	3	1	2	15
Tyrese Proctor	Guard	39	4-12	1-5	4-5	6	6	2	1	13
Mark Mitchell	G	22	2-3	0-0	9-9	4	0	2	0	13
Ryan Young	Center	24	2-2	0-0	4-6	7	2	0	0	8
Jeremy Roach	Guard	34	2-5	1-3	2-3	1	5	1	0	7
Jared McCain	Guard	16	0-5	0-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Sean Stewart	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jaylen Blakes	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	35	9-17	3-5	1-3	2	1	1	1	22
Malik Hall	Forward	26	7-11	2-4	2-4	3	0	0	0	18
Jaden Akins	Guard	32	4-11	1-4	2-2	8	0	1	0	11
Carson Cooper	C	21	1-3	0-0	2-2	8	0	1	1	4
AJ Hoggard	Guard	31	1-8	0-2	0-1	4	8	0	0	2
Mady Sissoko	Center	18	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Tre Holloman	G	13	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Coen Carr	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	3	2
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Xavier Booker	C	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

108.0Offensive Efficiency94.9

94.9Defensive Efficiency108.0

13.1Net Efficiency-13.1

51.0%Effective FG%46.0%

58.5%True Shooting %47.3%

19.0%Turnover Rate18.9%

61.2%Free Throw Rate19.0%

44.9%3-Point Rate30.2%

1.31Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Duke won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.