American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.3%American University

91.7%North Carolina

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina -15.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina -1105

North Carolina

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 67

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina 83

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricNorth Carolina

48.2MMH Power Index65.2

110.6Offensive Efficiency115.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency103.8

4.8Net Efficiency11.7

-4.3Strength of Schedule7.6

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.8

67.5Tempo69.0

52.6%Effective FG%54.6%

15.7%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

30.1%Free Throw Rate38.1%

3.3Average Margin8.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.2–48.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–110.6), defensive efficiency (103.8–105.8), net efficiency (11.7–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHrecent form (2.2–-1.8).

Final

American University

55—107

North Carolina

North Carolina by 52 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATNorth Carolina

19-61FG36-61

31.0%FG%59.0%

7-313PT7-22

23.0%3PT%32.0%

10-11FT28-34

91.0%FT%82.0%

23Rebounds46

7Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists16

13Turnovers9

3Steals8

1Blocks4

23Fouls15

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	25	5-11	2-6	3-4	7	0	1	0	15
Elijah Stephens	Guard	26	5-13	2-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	12
Greg Jones	F	22	3-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Lincoln Ball	Guard	18	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	0	4
Colin Smalls	Guard	26	1-6	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Matt Mayock	F	24	1-6	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Eric Michaels	F	8	1-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	3
Julen Iturbe	F	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Geoff Sprouse	G	19	1-7	0-5	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Wyatt Nausadis	G	14	0-3	0-2	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Adrian Samuels	G	3	0-1	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Alex Daniels	Guard	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Noah Jones	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elliot Cadeau	G	29	6-9	1-3	5-9	3	8	4	0	18
Jalen Washington	C	18	6-6	0-0	6-7	3	0	0	0	18
Seth Trimble	G	26	4-6	1-2	4-4	6	1	1	1	13
RJ Davis	Guard	26	5-13	1-7	2-2	3	3	1	0	13
Cade Tyson	G	21	4-8	3-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	17	3-5	0-0	2-2	5	0	1	0	8
Drake Powell	Guard	26	2-5	0-1	3-4	11	0	1	3	7
Jae'Lyn Withers	Forward	21	2-3	0-1	3-3	7	4	0	0	7
Ty Claude	Forward	5	2-2	0-0	3-3	2	0	0	0	7
Dante Mayo Jr.	Guard	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
John Holbrook	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Russell Hawkins	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

74.1Offensive Efficiency144.2

144.2Defensive Efficiency74.1

-70.1Net Efficiency70.1

36.9%Effective FG%64.8%

41.5%True Shooting %69.3%

18.0%Turnover Rate11.8%

18.0%Free Throw Rate55.7%

50.8%3-Point Rate36.1%

0.46Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

North Carolina won by 52 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.