Butler

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.2%Butler

91.8%Michigan State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMichigan State -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMichigan State -1120

Michigan State

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreButler 69

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreMichigan State 85

Team Comparison

ButlerMetricMichigan State

52.7MMH Power Index69.8

111.7Offensive Efficiency117.0

109.1Defensive Efficiency101.5

2.6Net Efficiency15.5

3.1Strength of Schedule7.2

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency9.5

71.1Tempo67.3

51.2%Effective FG%54.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate17.2%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %37.7%

42.9%Free Throw Rate36.6%

1.8Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Michigan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMichigan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.8–52.7), offensive efficiency (117.0–111.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–109.1), net efficiency (15.5–2.6).

Butler COUNTERS WITHball security (15.9–17.2), free throw rate (42.9–36.6).

Final

Butler

54—74

Michigan State

Michigan State by 20 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ButlerTEAM STATMichigan State

15-52FG28-59

28.8%FG%47.5%

7-253PT7-20

28.0%3PT%35.0%

17-24FT11-15

70.8%FT%73.3%

32Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds12

8Assists15

12Turnovers10

4Steals9

3Blocks3

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	32	5-15	2-4	3-5	6	1	0	0	15
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	36	4-11	2-7	3-4	4	1	1	0	13
Posh Alexander	Guard	31	2-10	0-3	4-7	4	2	2	0	8
DJ Davis	Guard	28	1-8	1-6	3-4	3	1	1	0	6
Boden Kapke	F	11	1-1	1-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Landon Moore	G	15	1-4	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Jalen Thomas	Forward	17	0-1	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	1	2
Andre Screen	Center	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Finley Bizjack	G	17	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Connor Turnbull	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Michigan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Walker	Guard	32	8-15	1-5	4-5	2	4	0	0	21
AJ Hoggard	Guard	25	5-11	1-2	3-4	6	4	0	0	14
Malik Hall	Forward	27	6-9	0-1	0-0	9	3	3	0	12
Jaden Akins	Guard	27	3-12	2-6	0-0	2	1	3	1	8
Jeremy Fears Jr.	G	16	1-3	1-2	3-4	0	2	0	0	6
Tre Holloman	G	16	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Carson Cooper	C	23	1-2	0-0	1-2	11	0	1	2	3
Xavier Booker	C	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Mady Sissoko	Center	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	2
Coen Carr	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Nick Sanders	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Steven Izzo	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

84.0Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency84.0

-31.1Net Efficiency31.1

35.6%Effective FG%53.4%

42.6%True Shooting %56.0%

18.6%Turnover Rate15.6%

46.2%Free Throw Rate25.4%

48.1%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Michigan State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.