Maryland

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.9%Maryland

90.1%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -15.9

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -910

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMaryland 66

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreVillanova 82

Team Comparison

MarylandMetricVillanova

44.1MMH Power Index59.4

104.5Offensive Efficiency114.7

113.6Defensive Efficiency105.9

-9.1Net Efficiency8.8

5.2Strength of Schedule4.4

-9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

66.7Tempo67.3

48.6%Effective FG%53.9%

18.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

38.9%Free Throw Rate31.4%

-6.1Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–44.1), offensive efficiency (114.7–104.5), defensive efficiency (105.9–113.6), net efficiency (8.8–-9.1).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.2–4.4), offensive rebounding (34.0–31.8), free throw rate (38.9–31.4).

Final

Maryland

40—57

Villanova

Villanova by 17 • 58.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MarylandTEAM STATVillanova

12-50FG18-40

24.0%FG%45.0%

5-263PT7-18

19.2%3PT%38.9%

11-16FT14-19

68.8%FT%73.7%

28Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists7

12Turnovers17

11Steals6

4Blocks1

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Reese	Forward	30	2-8	0-0	6-8	6	1	2	2	10
Jahmir Young	Guard	28	3-10	3-7	0-0	2	2	2	1	9
Donta Scott	Forward	27	2-5	2-5	1-2	1	1	1	0	7
Jahari Long	G	19	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	3	1	0	4
Noah Batchelor	G	12	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
DeShawn Harris-Smith	G	30	1-6	0-1	0-2	2	2	1	1	2
Jordan Geronimo	Forward	15	1-9	0-5	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	F	18	0-4	0-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jahnathan Lamothe	G	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	3	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Burton	Forward	20	4-5	2-3	5-6	6	0	1	0	15
TJ Bamba	Guard	27	4-9	1-3	2-3	3	1	2	0	11
Justin Moore	Guard	30	2-5	2-4	2-2	3	2	1	0	8
Eric Dixon	Forward	25	2-5	1-1	2-2	8	2	0	0	7
Hakim Hart	Guard	24	2-6	1-3	2-2	2	0	1	0	7
Mark Armstrong	Guard	19	3-4	0-0	0-2	2	2	0	0	6
Jordan Longino	Guard	17	1-3	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Brendan Hausen	G	19	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lance Ware	Forward	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	0
Nnanna Njoku	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.8Possessions58.8

68.0Offensive Efficiency96.9

96.9Defensive Efficiency68.0

-28.9Net Efficiency28.9

29.0%Effective FG%53.8%

34.7%True Shooting %58.1%

20.5%Turnover Rate28.8%

32.0%Free Throw Rate47.5%

52.0%3-Point Rate45.0%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.41

Game Summary

Villanova won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 58.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.