Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.0%Valparaiso

97.0%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -23.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -3233

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 63

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreIllinois 86

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricIllinois

49.9MMH Power Index76.5

106.6Offensive Efficiency125.0

105.8Defensive Efficiency103.3

0.8Net Efficiency21.7

0.3Strength of Schedule6.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

67.5Tempo66.5

48.7%Effective FG%54.8%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

40.0%Free Throw Rate33.8%

0.5Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–49.9), offensive efficiency (125.0–106.6), defensive efficiency (103.3–105.8), net efficiency (21.7–0.8).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (40.0–33.8).

Final

Valparaiso

64—87

Illinois

Illinois by 23 • 79.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATIllinois

24-80FG33-75

30.0%FG%44.0%

5-193PT9-28

26.3%3PT%32.1%

11-15FT12-24

73.3%FT%50.0%

51Rebounds60

15Offensive Rebounds15

4Assists16

7Turnovers9

4Steals4

7Blocks4

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stafford	G	32	11-23	3-8	5-7	3	0	2	1	30
Jerome Palm	F	30	5-15	0-1	2-3	10	0	1	0	12
Cooper Schwieger	F	20	5-10	0-1	2-3	7	0	1	2	12
Jahari Williamson	G	21	2-10	2-4	0-0	4	3	0	0	6
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	23	1-5	0-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Jaxon Edwards	G	32	0-12	0-3	0-0	15	0	0	3	0
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	24	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Ola Ajiboye	F	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Kaspar Sepp	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Anthony Sciarroni	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	27	7-14	3-7	5-6	7	4	0	0	22
Dain Dainja	Forward	21	8-10	0-0	0-6	7	0	0	2	16
Luke Goode	Forward	26	4-10	4-9	1-3	7	1	1	1	13
Ty Rodgers	G	20	4-6	0-0	2-2	7	2	2	0	10
Marcus Domask	Forward	27	2-9	1-4	2-3	6	3	0	0	7
Justin Harmon	Guard	20	3-8	1-2	0-0	9	2	0	0	7
Niccolo Moretti	G	13	2-2	0-0	2-4	1	2	1	0	6
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	16	1-7	0-5	0-0	5	1	0	1	2
Amani Hansberry	F	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	15	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

79.8Possessions79.8

80.2Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency80.2

-28.8Net Efficiency28.8

33.1%Effective FG%50.0%

36.7%True Shooting %50.3%

8.8%Turnover Rate11.2%

18.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

23.8%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.57Assist / Turnover1.78

Game Summary

Illinois won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 79.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.