Southern

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.7%Southern

98.3%Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois -26.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois -5782

Illinois

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern 66

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreIllinois 92

Team Comparison

SouthernMetricIllinois

44.5MMH Power Index76.5

108.7Offensive Efficiency125.0

106.4Defensive Efficiency103.3

2.3Net Efficiency21.7

-7.5Strength of Schedule6.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.7

73.3Tempo66.5

51.3%Effective FG%54.8%

16.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %39.3%

40.3%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.7Average Margin14.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.5–44.5), offensive efficiency (125.0–108.7), defensive efficiency (103.3–106.4), net efficiency (21.7–2.3).

Southern COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (40.3–33.8).

Final

Southern

60—88

Illinois

Illinois by 28 • 76.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SouthernTEAM STATIllinois

23-61FG36-63

37.7%FG%57.1%

5-243PT5-22

20.8%3PT%22.7%

9-14FT11-17

64.3%FT%64.7%

17Rebounds50

4Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists18

13Turnovers21

13Steals4

1Blocks3

14Fouls12

Player Box Score

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tai'Reon Joseph	G	37	7-23	0-6	2-4	3	2	3	0	16
Jordan Mitchell	Guard	24	5-9	2-3	1-2	1	5	1	0	13
Jordan Johnson	G	19	3-6	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Brentay Noel	F	16	3-3	0-0	1-1	1	1	2	1	7
Brandon Davis	Guard	26	2-7	0-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	4
Dre'Shawn Allen	Guard	12	1-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
JaRonn Wilkens	Forward	15	1-1	0-0	1-1	0	0	1	0	3
Delang Muon	F	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Tidjiane Dioumassi	G	18	0-3	0-0	2-4	1	1	2	0	2
Antoine Jacks	Guard	11	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	0

Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Shannon Jr.	Not Available	30	8-13	1-5	7-9	3	4	1	1	24
Dain Dainja	Forward	18	5-7	0-0	2-4	4	1	0	0	12
Quincy Guerrier	Forward	20	5-9	0-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	10
Luke Goode	Forward	21	3-7	3-7	0-0	7	0	0	0	9
Justin Harmon	Guard	15	4-7	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Amani Hansberry	F	22	4-5	0-0	0-0	7	3	2	0	8
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	17	2-5	0-2	1-2	2	2	0	1	5
Ty Rodgers	G	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	1	4
Niccolo Moretti	G	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	4
Marcus Domask	Forward	27	1-3	0-1	1-2	9	1	0	0	3
AJ Redd	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Max Williams	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.9Possessions76.9

78.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

114.4Defensive Efficiency78.0

-36.4Net Efficiency36.4

41.8%Effective FG%61.1%

44.3%True Shooting %61.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate27.2%

23.0%Free Throw Rate27.0%

39.3%3-Point Rate34.9%

0.77Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Illinois won by 28 points. The game played at approximately 76.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.