Purdue

30-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Purdue

70.4%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -238

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePurdue 73

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreGonzaga 81

Team Comparison

PurdueMetricGonzaga

73.2MMH Power Index76.4

124.8Offensive Efficiency119.7

107.8Defensive Efficiency94.0

17.0Net Efficiency25.7

7.6Strength of Schedule3.0

11.8Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

65.4Tempo70.4

57.8%Effective FG%55.7%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.6%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

29.1%Free Throw Rate31.5%

11.1Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–73.2), defensive efficiency (94.0–107.8), net efficiency (25.7–17.0), recent form (18.2–11.8).

Purdue COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (124.8–119.7), strength of schedule (7.6–3.0), shooting efficiency (57.8–55.7).

Final

Purdue

73—63

Gonzaga

Purdue by 10 • 73.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PurdueTEAM STATGonzaga

28-60FG26-69

46.7%FG%37.7%

4-173PT6-32

23.5%3PT%18.8%

13-16FT5-8

81.3%FT%62.5%

38Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists13

13Turnovers14

9Steals12

3Blocks2

12Fouls19

Player Box Score

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Edey	Center	33	8-16	0-0	9-10	14	0	0	3	25
Braden Smith	G	35	6-8	0-1	1-1	4	6	5	0	13
Lance Jones	Guard	26	6-14	1-6	0-0	4	1	2	0	13
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	13	3-6	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Myles Colvin	G	13	2-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Mason Gillis	Forward	21	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	3	0	0	4
Fletcher Loyer	G	24	0-6	0-3	2-2	1	1	0	0	2
Caleb Furst	Forward	12	1-3	0-0	0-1	5	0	2	0	2
Camden Heide	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Ethan Morton	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Graham Ike	F	27	6-10	2-6	0-0	7	0	0	1	14
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	39	5-17	1-9	0-0	3	6	3	0	11
Nolan Hickman	Guard	36	5-14	1-3	0-0	1	2	3	0	11
Dusty Stromer	G	30	3-7	1-5	2-2	6	1	2	0	9
Anton Watson	Forward	24	4-10	0-2	0-1	2	4	1	0	8
Braden Huff	F	20	2-6	1-4	1-3	6	0	0	0	6
Ben Gregg	Forward	19	1-5	0-3	0-0	6	0	3	1	2
Luka Krajnovic	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Junseok Yeo	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.2Possessions73.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency86.1

86.1Defensive Efficiency99.7

13.7Net Efficiency-13.7

50.0%Effective FG%42.0%

54.0%True Shooting %43.3%

17.9%Turnover Rate19.0%

26.7%Free Throw Rate11.6%

28.3%3-Point Rate46.4%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Purdue won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 73.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.