Saint Joseph's

24-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.4%Saint Joseph's

85.6%Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKentucky -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEKentucky -594

Kentucky

22-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 70

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreKentucky 81

Team Comparison

Saint Joseph'sMetricKentucky

52.5MMH Power Index63.9

106.5Offensive Efficiency115.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency106.3

4.3Net Efficiency8.9

-0.2Strength of Schedule8.7

6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

68.7Tempo69.9

49.8%Effective FG%53.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

31.1%Free Throw Rate38.0%

2.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMKentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.9–52.5), offensive efficiency (115.2–106.5), net efficiency (8.9–4.3), strength of schedule (8.7–-0.2).

Saint Joseph's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.2–106.3), recent form (6.7–-1.0).

Final

Saint Joseph's

88—96

Kentucky

Kentucky by 8 • 80.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Joseph'sTEAM STATKentucky

32-75FG33-64

43.0%FG%52.0%

15-373PT12-25

41.0%3PT%48.0%

9-12FT18-27

75.0%FT%67.0%

42Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds6

20Assists24

14Turnovers9

5Steals12

3Blocks8

21Fouls10

Player Box Score

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Erik Reynolds II	Guard	42	9-17	6-12	4-4	3	5	1	0	28
Xzayvier Brown	G	38	6-12	3-5	2-2	6	6	3	0	17
Cameron Brown	Guard	30	6-10	5-8	0-0	4	0	0	0	17
Christ Essandoko	F	32	4-7	0-1	1-2	9	2	0	1	9
Lynn Greer III	Guard	34	3-11	0-1	2-2	5	4	1	0	8
Rasheer Fleming	Forward	19	3-8	0-2	0-2	9	0	0	1	6
Anthony Finkley	F	14	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Kacper Klaczek	F	15	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	1	0
Charles Coleman	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Mitchell	Center	41	7-15	4-10	4-6	6	4	1	4	22
DJ Wagner	G	36	7-17	1-4	7-8	3	6	1	1	22
Antonio Reeves	Guard	32	7-9	3-3	3-4	5	3	0	1	20
Rob Dillingham	Guard	26	5-10	2-3	1-2	5	6	1	0	13
Justin Edwards	Forward	28	4-6	2-3	2-2	3	1	1	1	12
Adou Thiero	Forward	31	3-6	0-1	1-4	5	0	3	0	7
Reed Sheppard	Guard	25	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	4	5	0	0
Jordan Burks	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.3Possessions80.3

109.6Offensive Efficiency119.6

119.6Defensive Efficiency109.6

-10.0Net Efficiency10.0

52.7%Effective FG%60.9%

54.5%True Shooting %62.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate11.3%

16.0%Free Throw Rate42.2%

49.3%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.43Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

Kentucky won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 80.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.