Tennessee

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

26.5%Tennessee

73.5%Purdue

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPurdue -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPurdue -277

Purdue

30-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee 73

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScorePurdue 79

Team Comparison

TennesseeMetricPurdue

68.6MMH Power Index73.2

115.8Offensive Efficiency124.8

102.1Defensive Efficiency107.8

13.7Net Efficiency17.0

7.8Strength of Schedule7.6

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency11.8

68.1Tempo65.4

51.6%Effective FG%57.8%

17.3%Turnover Rate13.7%

44.5%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

38.6%Free Throw Rate29.1%

9.3Average Margin11.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Purdue HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY73.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPurdue holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (73.2–68.6), offensive efficiency (124.8–115.8), net efficiency (17.0–13.7), recent form (11.8–3.3).

Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.1–107.8), strength of schedule (7.8–7.6), offensive rebounding (44.5–36.2).

Final

Tennessee

67—71

Purdue

Purdue by 4 • 73.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TennesseeTEAM STATPurdue

19-57FG19-54

33.3%FG%35.2%

8-303PT4-15

26.7%3PT%26.7%

21-30FT29-48

70.0%FT%60.4%

31Rebounds44

10Offensive Rebounds17

9Assists8

10Turnovers16

8Steals8

3Blocks3

30Fouls21

Player Box Score

Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dalton Knecht	Guard	32	6-13	3-5	1-2	7	2	0	1	16
Jordan Gainey	Guard	25	3-13	3-10	6-7	2	2	1	0	15
Jahmai Mashack	Guard	17	3-7	0-1	3-6	2	1	2	1	9
Santiago Vescovi	Guard	27	0-3	0-3	8-10	4	0	1	0	8
Tobe Awaka	F	12	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Zakai Zeigler	Guard	28	2-11	1-7	0-0	4	3	2	0	5
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	13	1-3	0-0	3-4	1	0	0	0	5
Josiah-Jordan James	Guard	34	1-4	1-4	0-0	5	1	1	1	3
J.P. Estrella	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cade Phillips	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

Purdue

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fletcher Loyer	G	36	7-18	3-10	10-11	6	0	3	0	27
Zach Edey	Center	26	7-10	0-0	9-17	10	0	0	1	23
Trey Kaufman-Renn	F	21	2-7	0-0	4-8	8	2	1	1	8
Braden Smith	G	35	2-9	0-1	2-6	5	1	3	0	6
Lance Jones	Guard	31	1-4	1-3	1-2	3	2	1	0	4
Caleb Furst	Forward	20	0-3	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	0	3
Mason Gillis	Forward	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Camden Heide	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Myles Colvin	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethan Morton	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.6Possessions73.6

91.0Offensive Efficiency96.5

96.5Defensive Efficiency91.0

-5.4Net Efficiency5.4

40.4%Effective FG%38.9%

47.0%True Shooting %46.2%

14.0%Turnover Rate21.1%

52.6%Free Throw Rate88.9%

52.6%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.90Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Purdue won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 73.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.