Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.0%Florida State

46.0%Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL163.4

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -117

Colorado

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 82

Projected Total163.4

Projected ScoreColorado 82

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricColorado

58.7MMH Power Index52.7

111.9Offensive Efficiency112.9

108.5Defensive Efficiency112.4

3.4Net Efficiency0.5

5.7Strength of Schedule5.1

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.7

71.8Tempo71.0

52.4%Effective FG%53.0%

15.2%Turnover Rate14.6%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.4Average Margin0.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–52.7), defensive efficiency (108.5–112.4), net efficiency (3.4–0.5), strength of schedule (5.7–5.1).

Colorado COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.9–111.9), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.4), ball security (14.6–15.2).

Final

Florida State

77—71

Colorado

Florida State by 6 • 81.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATColorado

27-57FG25-72

47.0%FG%35.0%

8-243PT5-20

33.0%3PT%25.0%

15-22FT16-21

68.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds46

5Offensive Rebounds19

12Assists14

18Turnovers20

17Steals9

5Blocks1

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Warley	G	32	7-11	0-0	5-9	1	3	3	0	19
Jamir Watkins	Guard	38	7-11	1-3	3-4	11	4	4	1	18
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	40	3-12	3-10	3-4	2	0	4	0	12
De'Ante Green	F	30	4-6	0-1	2-3	2	0	0	2	10
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	15	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Baba Miller	F	26	2-5	1-2	0-0	3	3	3	1	5
Chandler Jackson	G	15	1-2	1-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	5
Cameron Corhen	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Cam'Ron Fletcher	F	17	0-5	0-4	0-0	6	1	2	1	0
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sola Adebisi	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cody Williams	Forward	34	6-10	1-3	4-7	6	1	2	0	17
KJ Simpson	Guard	38	5-22	1-6	4-5	9	3	1	0	15
Julian Hammond III	Guard	21	3-7	3-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Tristan da Silva	Forward	39	2-9	0-4	4-4	4	3	3	1	8
J'Vonne Hadley	G	38	3-4	0-0	2-3	7	1	2	0	8
Eddie Lampkin Jr.	Center	25	3-10	0-0	2-2	11	4	0	0	8
Luke O'Brien	Forward	19	3-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	6
RJ Smith	G	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Assane Diop	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.8Possessions81.8

94.1Offensive Efficiency86.8

86.8Defensive Efficiency94.1

7.3Net Efficiency-7.3

54.4%Effective FG%38.2%

57.1%True Shooting %43.3%

22.4%Turnover Rate24.1%

38.6%Free Throw Rate29.2%

42.1%3-Point Rate27.8%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

Florida State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 81.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.