The Citadel

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.8%The Citadel

96.2%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -22.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.4

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -2532

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 67

Projected Total156.4

Projected ScoreNC State 89

Team Comparison

The CitadelMetricNC State

35.6MMH Power Index60.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency118.4

116.9Defensive Efficiency108.6

-10.8Net Efficiency9.8

-1.3Strength of Schedule6.4

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

66.3Tempo70.2

50.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

29.6%Free Throw Rate35.7%

-7.2Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–35.6), offensive efficiency (118.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (108.6–116.9), net efficiency (9.8–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (28.6–28.2).

Final

The Citadel

59—72

NC State

NC State by 13 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

The CitadelTEAM STATNC State

21-53FG29-65

40.0%FG%45.0%

4-173PT10-28

24.0%3PT%36.0%

13-24FT4-7

54.0%FT%57.0%

39Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists19

14Turnovers9

5Steals9

—Blocks5

10Fouls20

Player Box Score

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
AJ Smith	G	33	3-9	0-2	9-11	5	0	0	15
Madison Durr	G	23	4-8	1-1	0-1	5	1	1	9
Winston Hill	Forward	29	4-13	0-2	0-0	8	1	1	8
Quentin Millora-Brown	Forward	31	2-6	1-3	2-4	7	1	0	7
Kam Roberts	Guard	7	3-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	6
Christian Moore	F	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	5
Keynan Davis	G	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	3
Marcus Pigram	G	9	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	1	3
Tony Carpio	F	2	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	3
Elijah Morgan	Guard	28	0-4	0-3	0-1	0	1	2	0
Colby McAllister	Guard	6	0-3	0-2	0-2	1	0	0	0
Levi Birkholz	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
Quinn Nielsen	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Burns	Forward	26	8-11	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	1	16
Michael O'Connell	Guard	26	5-6	4-5	0-0	3	7	1	0	14
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	27	4-10	2-6	0-0	14	1	0	3	10
Casey Morsell	Guard	29	4-9	1-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	9
Jayden Taylor	Guard	26	3-8	2-3	1-3	3	2	0	0	9
DJ Horne	Guard	28	2-12	1-7	1-2	6	3	1	0	6
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	14	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	3	0	4
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	12	1-4	0-1	2-2	3	0	2	1	4
Breon Pass	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
LJ Thomas	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ernest Ross	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Snell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
KJ Keatts	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

86.3Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency86.3

-19.0Net Efficiency19.0

43.4%Effective FG%52.3%

45.8%True Shooting %52.7%

20.5%Turnover Rate13.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate10.8%

32.1%3-Point Rate43.1%

0.57Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

NC State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.