Columbia

16-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Columbia

68.3%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -215

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColumbia 79

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreProvidence 84

Team Comparison

ColumbiaMetricProvidence

51.9MMH Power Index54.2

112.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

105.2Defensive Efficiency113.2

7.2Net Efficiency1.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule4.0

-2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

68.2Tempo74.2

54.4%Effective FG%55.0%

19.1%Turnover Rate16.7%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

28.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

5.0Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–51.9), offensive efficiency (115.0–112.4), strength of schedule (4.0–-1.7), recent form (-1.3–-2.4).

Columbia COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–113.2), net efficiency (7.2–1.8), offensive rebounding (37.3–31.8).

Final

Columbia

59—78

Providence

Providence by 19 • 77.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColumbiaTEAM STATProvidence

21-71FG29-59

30.0%FG%49.0%

6-263PT6-23

23.0%3PT%26.0%

11-13FT14-19

85.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists14

15Turnovers18

12Steals11

3Blocks7

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Columbia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blair Thompson	F	29	3-7	3-5	6-6	6	1	0	0	15
Zavian McLean	Guard	23	6-11	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	1	12
Avery Brown	G	30	4-14	0-3	3-4	6	3	2	0	11
Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa	Guard	33	3-10	2-4	2-3	6	2	4	0	10
Zine Eddine Bedri	F	18	2-7	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Kenny Noland	G	19	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Jaden Cooper	G	8	1-5	0-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Josh Odunowo	F	12	0-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	2	0
Robbie Stankard	Forward	11	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Noah Robledo	Forward	10	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nicolo Romanelli	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Arop Arop	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Hopkins	F	30	4-13	2-6	4-4	10	1	1	0	14
Devin Carter	Guard	27	5-8	1-2	2-3	6	4	3	1	13
Rafael Castro	F	14	6-7	0-0	1-3	3	0	1	3	13
Ticket Gaines	Guard	27	3-4	1-2	5-7	7	1	2	0	12
Jayden Pierre	G	29	3-6	1-3	2-2	2	3	1	0	9
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	24	3-10	0-6	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Josh Oduro	Forward	21	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	2	6
Garwey Dual	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	1	3
Rich Barron	F	15	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Eli DeLaurier	C	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Donovan Santoro	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kieran O'Haire	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Luke Fonts	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.1Possessions77.1

76.5Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency76.5

-24.6Net Efficiency24.6

33.8%Effective FG%54.2%

38.2%True Shooting %57.3%

19.4%Turnover Rate23.4%

18.3%Free Throw Rate32.2%

36.6%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Providence won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 77.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.