Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.9%Tarleton State

96.1%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -20.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -2464

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 65

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreVirginia 86

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricVirginia

44.6MMH Power Index68.9

103.2Offensive Efficiency119.0

101.6Defensive Efficiency101.8

1.6Net Efficiency17.2

-2.3Strength of Schedule5.2

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

72.2Tempo67.6

49.0%Effective FG%55.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

42.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.1Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–44.6), offensive efficiency (119.0–103.2), net efficiency (17.2–1.6), strength of schedule (5.2–-2.3).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–101.8), free throw rate (42.8–33.2).

Final

Tarleton State

50—80

Virginia

Virginia by 30 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATVirginia

16-48FG23-47

33.0%FG%49.0%

3-133PT10-22

23.0%3PT%45.0%

15-21FT24-39

71.0%FT%62.0%

27Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists15

16Turnovers8

6Steals9

3Blocks5

28Fouls19

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Barnes	G	15	2-4	1-2	6-6	1	0	0	0	11
Izzy Miles	G	29	4-8	0-2	2-4	5	0	0	0	10
Bubu Benjamin	G	38	3-6	1-1	1-1	1	3	0	2	8
Lue Williams	Guard	33	2-12	0-3	3-5	2	0	2	0	7
Jakorie Smith	Forward	31	2-7	0-2	3-5	5	2	3	0	7
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	20	2-6	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	4
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	22	1-4	1-3	0-0	5	1	1	1	3
Adam Moussa	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nasan Ayala	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jalen Thomas	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reece Beekman	Guard	27	5-9	0-3	6-7	4	7	3	1	16
Isaac McKneely	G	29	4-8	4-8	3-4	4	4	1	0	15
Leon Bond III	G	17	4-5	0-0	4-6	9	0	2	0	12
Ryan Dunn	Forward	21	2-3	1-2	4-8	7	1	1	2	9
Jacob Groves	Forward	15	3-4	3-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	9
Dante Harris	G	24	1-3	0-0	5-8	3	1	1	0	7
Andrew Rohde	G	26	2-8	2-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Taine Murray	Guard	11	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Blake Buchanan	F	17	0-2	0-0	1-4	4	0	0	1	1
Jordan Minor	Forward	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Tristan How	Forward	2	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

76.6Offensive Efficiency122.5

122.5Defensive Efficiency76.6

-45.9Net Efficiency45.9

36.5%Effective FG%59.6%

43.1%True Shooting %61.0%

23.9%Turnover Rate12.6%

43.8%Free Throw Rate83.0%

27.1%3-Point Rate46.8%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Virginia won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.