Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.5%Georgia State

95.5%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -20.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -2122

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 66

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreBelmont 87

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricBelmont

38.9MMH Power Index61.8

101.3Offensive Efficiency118.6

107.5Defensive Efficiency103.7

-6.2Net Efficiency14.9

-1.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

69.5Tempo70.7

45.3%Effective FG%60.7%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

37.4%Free Throw Rate32.7%

-4.3Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–38.9), offensive efficiency (118.6–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.7–107.5), net efficiency (14.9–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHball security (15.6–17.8), free throw rate (37.4–32.7).

Final

Georgia State

87—89

Belmont

Belmont by 2 • 77.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATBelmont

36-76FG32-60

47.0%FG%53.0%

7-193PT8-20

37.0%3PT%40.0%

8-14FT17-22

57.0%FT%77.0%

39Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists19

7Turnovers13

6Steals3

1Blocks4

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	21	6-7	0-0	2-2	4	0	2	0	14
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	30	5-7	2-3	0-2	11	2	3	0	12
Lucas Taylor	Guard	30	6-20	0-2	0-0	5	3	0	0	12
Brenden Tucker	Guard	18	3-6	0-1	4-7	0	0	1	0	10
Toneari Lane	G	31	3-9	3-7	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Dwon Odom	Guard	27	4-11	1-2	0-0	5	6	0	1	9
Ed Nnamoko	F	14	4-4	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	9
Jamaine Mann	Guard	12	3-5	1-1	1-1	2	0	0	0	8
Julian Mackey	G	12	2-6	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Rickey Bradley Jr.	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cade Tyson	G	30	9-12	5-7	6-7	3	1	1	0	29
Malik Dia	F	27	10-15	0-2	4-4	4	1	1	3	24
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	35	6-12	1-4	4-6	8	7	1	0	17
Jayce Willingham	Guard	20	3-6	1-1	1-1	3	2	0	1	8
Brigham Rogers	F	14	2-2	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	5
Isaiah Walker	G	36	1-8	1-4	0-0	6	3	0	0	3
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	35	1-5	0-2	1-2	4	4	0	0	3
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.1Possessions77.1

112.8Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency112.8

-2.6Net Efficiency2.6

52.0%Effective FG%60.0%

52.6%True Shooting %63.2%

9.1%Turnover Rate16.8%

18.4%Free Throw Rate36.7%

25.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Belmont won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 77.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.