Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.2%Alabama State

89.8%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOle Miss -14.1

PROJECTED TOTAL153.5

MODEL MONEYLINEOle Miss -880

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 70

Projected Total153.5

Projected ScoreOle Miss 84

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricOle Miss

38MMH Power Index53

101.7Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.4Defensive Efficiency109.5

-5.7Net Efficiency-0.3

-6.2Strength of Schedule5.4

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

71.9Tempo69.5

48.2%Effective FG%50.6%

18.2%Turnover Rate14.0%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

35.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-4.1Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ole Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOle Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–38.0), offensive efficiency (109.2–101.7), net efficiency (-0.3–-5.7), strength of schedule (5.4–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–109.5), recent form (0.0–-2.3), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.0).

Final

Alabama State

59—69

Ole Miss

Ole Miss by 10 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATOle Miss

17-62FG25-68

27.0%FG%37.0%

9-253PT7-29

36.0%3PT%24.0%

16-21FT12-25

76.0%FT%48.0%

46Rebounds52

13Offensive Rebounds17

9Assists14

11Turnovers8

6Steals6

3Blocks8

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	27	2-13	0-4	8-11	3	1	1	1	12
TJ Madlock	Guard	25	4-12	0-1	4-6	8	3	0	1	12
Amarr Knox	G	24	3-9	3-5	2-2	3	0	1	0	11
JaSteven Walker	F	22	3-8	3-7	0-0	4	0	1	0	9
Eric Coleman	Forward	21	2-4	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Micah Octave	G	28	1-5	1-3	2-2	7	1	1	0	5
Darrell Reed	Forward	27	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Sean Smith	G	17	1-8	0-2	0-0	3	4	1	0	2
Ubong Okon	C	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matthew Murrell	Guard	35	6-18	1-8	3-5	9	4	0	0	16
Jaylen Murray	Guard	32	4-10	2-7	5-9	5	4	1	0	15
T.J. Caldwell	G	30	6-13	2-6	1-2	3	1	0	0	15
Allen Flanigan	Guard	29	6-12	1-2	2-5	12	1	3	1	15
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	27	1-10	0-3	1-2	6	2	0	1	3
Robert Cowherd	G	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Jamarion Sharp	Forward	21	1-2	0-0	0-2	4	1	2	4	2
Rashaud Marshall	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Austin Nunez	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

83.7Offensive Efficiency97.9

97.9Defensive Efficiency83.7

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

34.7%Effective FG%41.9%

41.0%True Shooting %43.2%

15.7%Turnover Rate11.3%

33.9%Free Throw Rate36.8%

40.3%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Ole Miss won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.