Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Arkansas State

78.0%Wisconsin

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWisconsin -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEWisconsin -355

Wisconsin

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 78

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreWisconsin 86

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricWisconsin

57.7MMH Power Index64.5

113.1Offensive Efficiency118.6

105.3Defensive Efficiency108.8

7.8Net Efficiency9.8

-1.0Strength of Schedule6.7

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency5.6

73.3Tempo69.9

52.7%Effective FG%54.6%

19.4%Turnover Rate12.8%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

39.6%Free Throw Rate32.5%

5.8Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wisconsin HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWisconsin holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.5–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.6–113.1), net efficiency (9.8–7.8), strength of schedule (6.7–-1.0).

Arkansas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.3–108.8), recent form (15.2–5.6), offensive rebounding (38.1–28.7).

Final

Arkansas State

76—105

Wisconsin

Wisconsin by 29 • 81.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATWisconsin

24-59FG39-60

41.0%FG%65.0%

4-213PT6-12

19.0%3PT%50.0%

24-33FT21-30

73.0%FT%70.0%

28Rebounds33

10Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists17

17Turnovers14

7Steals7

—Blocks3

21Fouls24

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	34	6-15	1-4	8-10	7	2	2	21
Caleb Fields	Guard	39	5-9	0-1	7-9	2	2	1	17
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	29	4-9	0-2	6-6	8	0	0	14
Avery Felts	Guard	32	3-11	1-8	0-0	0	1	2	7
Derrian Ford	G	30	3-5	1-2	0-2	2	1	0	7
Taryn Todd	Guard	15	2-5	0-2	1-2	2	1	0	5
LaQuill Hardnett	Forward	14	1-5	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	3
Izaiyah Nelson	F	6	0-0	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	2
Noah McDavid	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0

Wisconsin

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	31	7-10	2-3	4-5	1	6	3	0	20
AJ Storr	G	24	6-13	0-2	3-4	2	2	1	1	15
Max Klesmit	Guard	18	5-5	1-1	3-3	1	1	0	0	14
John Blackwell	G	15	3-3	1-1	5-7	4	0	1	0	12
Steve Crowl	Forward	19	3-4	0-0	3-6	3	4	0	0	9
Isaac Lindsey	Guard	17	3-6	1-3	1-1	0	2	0	1	8
Tyler Wahl	Forward	14	4-5	0-0	0-1	1	2	1	0	8
Nolan Winter	F	14	3-3	0-0	0-1	7	0	1	0	6
Carter Gilmore	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	4
Connor Essegian	G	5	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Markus Ilver	Forward	19	1-4	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Kamari McGee	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Chris Hodges	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Luke Haertle	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Gard	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.5Possessions81.5

93.3Offensive Efficiency128.8

128.8Defensive Efficiency93.3

-35.6Net Efficiency35.6

44.1%Effective FG%70.0%

50.9%True Shooting %70.7%

20.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

55.9%Free Throw Rate50.0%

35.6%3-Point Rate20.0%

0.41Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Wisconsin won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 81.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.