Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%Northern Kentucky

58.7%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL157.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -142

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 77

Projected Total157.3

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 80

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricMiddle Tennessee

53.9MMH Power Index52.5

114.9Offensive Efficiency109.6

107.1Defensive Efficiency105.7

7.8Net Efficiency3.9

-2.9Strength of Schedule0.4

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

72.3Tempo68.8

54.5%Effective FG%52.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.1%Free Throw Rate33.2%

5.7Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–52.5), offensive efficiency (114.9–109.6), net efficiency (7.8–3.9), recent form (4.6–3.2).

Middle Tennessee COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.7–107.1), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.9).

Final

Northern Kentucky

57—74

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 17 • 67.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

22-51FG25-59

43.0%FG%42.0%

3-143PT10-27

21.0%3PT%37.0%

10-17FT14-17

59.0%FT%82.0%

37Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists12

18Turnovers12

7Steals10

3Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	33	7-15	2-6	2-2	0	1	1	0	18
Sam Vinson	Guard	36	5-12	0-5	3-4	6	2	1	0	13
Cade Meyer	Forward	23	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
LJ Wells	F	20	2-3	0-0	2-4	5	1	0	0	6
Keeyan Itejere	F	15	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	2	6
Fiston Ipassou	Guard	11	1-3	1-1	1-3	5	0	0	0	4
Trey Robinson	Guard	26	0-6	0-1	2-4	9	1	2	1	2
Michael Bradley	Guard	24	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	4	1	0	2
Randall Pettus II	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cole Sherman	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camryn Weston	Guard	34	4-11	0-3	6-7	4	5	2	1	14
Elias King	Guard	28	5-9	4-6	0-0	4	0	3	1	14
Justin Bufford	Guard	23	4-6	2-4	3-4	4	0	1	1	13
Jacob Johnson	Guard	28	4-7	1-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	10
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	21	3-7	1-2	2-2	6	2	1	0	9
Jestin Porter	G	27	3-9	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	7
Ty Mosley	Guard	9	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	3
Chris Loofe	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jalen Jordan	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Josh Ogundele	F	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Tre Green	G	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.1Possessions67.1

84.9Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency84.9

-25.3Net Efficiency25.3

46.1%Effective FG%50.8%

48.2%True Shooting %55.2%

27.7%Turnover Rate17.4%

33.3%Free Throw Rate28.8%

27.5%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 67.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.