St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%St. Thomas-Minnesota

53.5%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -115

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 77

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreCalifornia 78

Team Comparison

St. Thomas-MinnesotaMetricCalifornia

59.8MMH Power Index56.5

116.8Offensive Efficiency111.8

102.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

14.6Net Efficiency7.0

-3.6Strength of Schedule2.8

14.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

70.0Tempo69.9

59.2%Effective FG%52.6%

13.9%Turnover Rate14.9%

22.1%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

10.2Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–56.5), offensive efficiency (116.8–111.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–104.8), net efficiency (14.6–7.0).

California COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.8–-3.6), offensive rebounding (26.6–22.1), free throw rate (36.8–35.2).

Final

St. Thomas-Minnesota

66—71

California

California by 5 • 60.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. Thomas-MinnesotaTEAM STATCalifornia

26-53FG24-49

49.0%FG%49.0%

12-283PT7-15

43.0%3PT%47.0%

2-3FT16-22

67.0%FT%73.0%

23Rebounds31

5Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists6

12Turnovers9

1Steals6

3Blocks2

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brooks Allen	Forward	34	7-13	3-7	0-0	4	2	1	1	17
Drake Dobbs	Guard	35	5-8	2-3	2-3	0	3	0	0	14
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	29	5-12	1-5	0-0	2	2	0	0	11
Dom Martinelli	Guard	22	3-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Ben Nau	Guard	16	2-5	2-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Carter Bjerke	F	7	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Ahjany Lee	F	10	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	5
Kendall Blue	G	24	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	0
Raheem Anthony	Guard	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Ryan Dufault	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Celestine	G	32	7-10	3-4	4-6	4	1	0	0	21
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	30	6-10	0-0	4-6	11	1	1	2	16
Jalen Cone	Guard	37	3-9	2-6	2-2	0	1	0	0	10
Devin Askew	G	31	2-7	0-1	5-6	5	2	0	0	9
Grant Newell	F	16	3-3	1-1	1-2	0	0	2	0	8
Monty Bowser	G	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Vladimir Pavlovic	G	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
ND Okafor	C	12	1-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.5Possessions60.5

109.1Offensive Efficiency117.4

117.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

-8.3Net Efficiency8.3

60.4%Effective FG%56.1%

60.6%True Shooting %59.7%

19.5%Turnover Rate15.1%

5.7%Free Throw Rate44.9%

52.8%3-Point Rate30.6%

1.17Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

California won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 60.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.