Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.6%Portland State

7.4%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland State -17.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.7

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland State -1251

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 81

Projected Total144.7

Projected ScoreAir Force 64

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricAir Force

50.2MMH Power Index23

109.3Offensive Efficiency91.3

100.2Defensive Efficiency118.5

9.1Net Efficiency-27.2

-5.6Strength of Schedule6.2

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

70.1Tempo67.4

51.7%Effective FG%49.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate21.9%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.9%

6.4Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–23.0), offensive efficiency (109.3–91.3), defensive efficiency (100.2–118.5), net efficiency (9.1–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-5.6).

Final

Portland State

62—55

Air Force

Portland State by 7 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATAir Force

18-50FG20-50

36.0%FG%40.0%

7-273PT6-25

26.0%3PT%24.0%

19-29FT9-19

66.0%FT%47.0%

41Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists13

12Turnovers12

2Steals6

3Blocks2

18Fouls24

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	33	3-8	2-6	2-2	7	1	0	0	10
KJ Allen	Forward	23	0-5	0-2	8-10	3	1	0	0	8
Isiah Kirby	Guard	19	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	8
Bobby Harvey	Guard	17	2-6	2-6	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	22	2-6	0-0	3-7	13	0	0	1	7
Ismail Habib	G	21	2-8	2-8	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Hunter Woods	Forward	22	1-5	1-5	2-4	1	1	1	1	5
Kendall Munson	Forward	16	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	5
Hayden Curtiss	Center	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Cole Farrell	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Keshaun Saunders	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Beasley	Guard	37	5-7	0-0	4-6	2	4	1	0	14
Beau Becker	Forward	29	6-12	2-6	0-2	7	0	1	2	14
Ethan Taylor	Guard	38	3-14	3-12	2-2	2	5	2	0	11
Kellan Boylan	F	36	3-5	1-2	0-1	15	2	1	0	7
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	37	1-8	0-5	1-4	3	2	1	0	3
Kolby Gilles	F	7	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Byron Brown	Guard	6	1-3	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Corbin Green	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

100.2Offensive Efficiency88.9

88.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

11.3Net Efficiency-11.3

43.0%Effective FG%46.0%

48.6%True Shooting %46.6%

19.4%Turnover Rate19.3%

58.0%Free Throw Rate38.0%

54.0%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.42Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Portland State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.