Louisiana Tech

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%Louisiana Tech

74.6%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL140.8

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -294

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 67

Projected Total140.8

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Team Comparison

Louisiana TechMetricColorado State

50.3MMH Power Index55.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency117.1

98.7Defensive Efficiency109.9

7.4Net Efficiency7.2

-5.1Strength of Schedule0.4

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

65.9Tempo64.7

49.4%Effective FG%58.6%

18.5%Turnover Rate18.3%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

33.5%Free Throw Rate41.2%

4.9Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–50.3), offensive efficiency (117.1–106.1), strength of schedule (0.4–-5.1), shooting efficiency (58.6–49.4).

Louisiana Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.7–109.9), net efficiency (7.4–7.2), recent form (5.4–4.3).

Final

Louisiana Tech

73—81

Colorado State

Colorado State by 8 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Louisiana TechTEAM STATColorado State

29-65FG26-51

45.0%FG%51.0%

7-243PT6-16

29.0%3PT%38.0%

8-10FT23-26

80.0%FT%88.0%

39Rebounds23

13Offensive Rebounds—

13Assists19

14Turnovers10

7Steals7

2Blocks3

23Fouls14

Player Box Score

Louisiana Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Henderson	G	27	6-9	2-3	2-2	2	0	0	0	16
Sean Newman Jr.	G	32	7-13	1-3	0-0	1	5	3	0	15
Tahlik Chavez	Guard	28	4-10	3-7	0-0	2	1	0	0	11
Dravon Mangum	Forward	27	2-8	0-3	3-4	10	2	2	0	7
Jordan Crawford	G	18	3-5	0-2	0-0	5	2	0	1	6
Isaiah Crawford	Forward	11	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	0	6
Will Allen	F	26	2-6	0-0	0-0	8	1	0	1	4
Tyler Henry	Guard	14	2-6	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Devin Ree	F	12	1-4	1-2	1-2	2	0	1	0	4
Jordan Turner	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joel Scott	Forward	32	6-9	1-2	5-6	4	0	0	2	18
Nique Clifford	Guard	23	4-6	2-2	6-6	4	3	3	0	16
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	36	4-9	0-3	7-8	3	10	2	0	15
Patrick Cartier	Forward	26	5-11	1-1	3-4	2	2	0	0	14
Josiah Strong	Guard	28	3-5	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	8
Jalen Lake	Guard	30	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Joe Palmer	Guard	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	5	2	1	1	3
Kyan Evans	G	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Kyle Evans	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Javonte Johnson	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

101.2Offensive Efficiency112.3

112.3Defensive Efficiency101.2

-11.1Net Efficiency11.1

50.0%Effective FG%56.9%

52.3%True Shooting %63.9%

19.8%Turnover Rate13.6%

15.4%Free Throw Rate51.0%

36.9%3-Point Rate31.4%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.90

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.