Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Denver

72.9%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -269

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 75

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 84

Team Comparison

DenverMetricUC San Diego

49.1MMH Power Index53.4

119.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

119.2Defensive Efficiency100.7

0.0Net Efficiency7.7

-2.6Strength of Schedule-1.3

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

69.5Tempo69.8

55.3%Effective FG%53.1%

14.2%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

35.3%Free Throw Rate33.2%

0.0Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (100.7–119.2), net efficiency (7.7–0.0), strength of schedule (-1.3–-2.6).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–108.4), shooting efficiency (55.3–53.1), ball security (14.2–16.4).

Final

Denver

87—95

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 8 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATUC San Diego

28-71FG35-65

39.0%FG%54.0%

6-183PT7-17

33.0%3PT%41.0%

25-33FT18-25

76.0%FT%72.0%

48Rebounds36

24Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists20

11Turnovers8

2Steals7

4Blocks8

21Fouls24

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Touko Tainamo	Forward	32	8-16	1-3	14-16	18	0	0	0	31
Tommy Bruner	Guard	36	7-22	2-6	7-7	1	3	0	0	23
DeAndre Craig Jr.	G	29	4-11	1-2	2-5	3	4	1	0	11
Jaxon Brenchley	Guard	35	3-10	0-1	2-5	5	4	1	2	8
Isaiah Addo-Ankrah	Guard	26	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	8
Isaiah Carr	F	9	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	4
Pedro Lopez-Sanvicente	Forward	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Benjamin Bowen	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tyson Garff	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Pope	Guard	38	10-21	5-11	3-3	2	0	1	1	28
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	36	9-11	0-1	3-5	2	1	0	3	21
Hayden Gray	Guard	35	6-12	0-1	3-5	3	5	4	1	15
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	32	3-10	0-0	8-10	10	9	2	1	14
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	23	5-7	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	2	11
Justin DeGraaf	Forward	17	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Camden McCormick	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	4	0	0	0
Aidan Burke	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cade Pendleton	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quin Patterson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

119.5Offensive Efficiency130.5

130.5Defensive Efficiency119.5

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

43.7%Effective FG%59.2%

50.2%True Shooting %61.8%

14.9%Turnover Rate11.1%

46.5%Free Throw Rate38.5%

25.4%3-Point Rate26.2%

1.18Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.