Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.5%Sacramento State

91.5%Nevada

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNevada -16.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINENevada -1076

Nevada

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 70

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreNevada 86

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricNevada

43MMH Power Index59.8

106.1Offensive Efficiency112.4

112.0Defensive Efficiency105.7

-5.9Net Efficiency6.7

0.9Strength of Schedule3.7

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.8

73.2Tempo67.7

48.5%Effective FG%50.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %31.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate46.0%

-4.3Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nevada HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNevada holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–43.0), offensive efficiency (112.4–106.1), defensive efficiency (105.7–112.0), net efficiency (6.7–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHball security (14.2–14.8).

Final

Sacramento State

63—77

Nevada

Nevada by 14 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATNevada

23-62FG26-59

37.0%FG%44.0%

11-333PT4-15

33.0%3PT%27.0%

6-8FT21-27

75.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists17

13Turnovers7

2Steals8

4Blocks2

24Fouls16

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duncan Powell	F	27	6-11	1-4	2-3	8	1	0	1	15
Zee Hamoda	G	26	4-11	3-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	11
Austin Patterson	Guard	27	3-6	3-6	0-0	2	2	0	1	9
Alex Kovatchev	G	28	3-7	2-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	8
Bowyn Beatty	F	20	2-6	0-0	2-2	7	2	0	0	6
Brandon Betson	Guard	30	1-10	1-9	2-2	2	4	1	0	5
Bailey Nunn	G	11	2-4	1-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	5
Emil Skytt	G	13	1-4	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Akol Mawein	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Jacob Holt	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Nevada

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarod Lucas	Guard	35	4-14	1-6	9-9	4	4	1	0	18
Kenan Blackshear	Guard	28	6-12	0-1	2-2	7	3	2	1	14
Hunter McIntosh	Guard	25	5-8	2-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	12
Nick Davidson	F	18	3-5	0-1	4-4	5	1	0	1	10
Jazz Gardner	C	14	3-6	1-2	0-0	8	0	0	0	7
Daniel Foster	Guard	16	3-4	0-0	0-1	1	1	0	0	6
Tre Coleman	Forward	31	1-5	0-2	2-2	2	4	3	0	4
K.J. Hymes	Forward	18	1-3	0-0	2-7	5	0	0	0	4
Tyler Rolison	G	12	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	3	1	0	2
Amire Robinson	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

92.9Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency92.9

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

46.0%Effective FG%47.5%

47.9%True Shooting %53.6%

19.2%Turnover Rate10.3%

12.9%Free Throw Rate45.8%

53.2%3-Point Rate25.4%

1.23Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Nevada won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.