Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.1%Arizona State

44.9%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -123

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 80

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreMississippi State 80

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricMississippi State

51MMH Power Index44.6

108.1Offensive Efficiency107.4

110.9Defensive Efficiency113.2

-2.8Net Efficiency-5.8

7.0Strength of Schedule5.0

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

70.6Tempo72.3

51.3%Effective FG%51.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.1%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

40.2%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-1.9Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–44.6), offensive efficiency (108.1–107.4), defensive efficiency (110.9–113.2), net efficiency (-2.8–-5.8).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.6–51.3), ball security (16.1–17.1), offensive rebounding (29.8–29.6).

Final

Arizona State

56—71

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 15 • 69.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATMississippi State

17-53FG22-55

32.0%FG%40.0%

5-213PT10-26

24.0%3PT%38.0%

17-26FT17-22

65.0%FT%77.0%

31Rebounds44

7Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists11

10Turnovers15

7Steals7

1Blocks3

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kamari Lands	G	27	4-10	1-5	4-6	4	0	0	0	13
Frankie Collins	G	32	3-10	0-2	4-5	3	3	5	0	10
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	21	2-2	0-0	2-3	5	1	0	1	6
Zane Meeks	Forward	6	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Jose Perez	Guard	33	0-4	0-0	5-8	4	2	1	0	5
Jamiya Neal	Guard	26	2-8	1-4	0-0	3	4	0	0	5
Bryant Selebangue	F	18	2-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	0	4
Malachi Davis	G	17	1-5	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Brycen Long	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	17	0-7	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Bobby Hurley	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Fort	G	33	6-12	5-10	4-5	2	1	1	1	21
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	25	5-6	0-0	3-4	9	1	0	0	13
Dashawn Davis	Guard	23	2-5	1-2	5-6	0	2	1	0	10
Cameron Matthews	Forward	23	2-6	0-1	4-4	9	1	3	1	8
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	13	3-4	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	8
Josh Hubbard	G	12	2-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Jaquan Scott	F	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Gai Chol	C	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	33	0-6	0-2	1-3	9	2	1	0	1
Andrew Taylor	Guard	11	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	0
Adrian Myers	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaac Stansbury	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.0Possessions69.0

81.2Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency81.2

-21.7Net Efficiency21.7

36.8%Effective FG%49.1%

42.8%True Shooting %54.2%

14.6%Turnover Rate21.6%

49.1%Free Throw Rate40.0%

39.6%3-Point Rate47.3%

1.10Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 69.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.