Pepperdine

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Pepperdine

83.8%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -517

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePepperdine 71

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreUC Davis 84

Team Comparison

PepperdineMetricUC Davis

38.2MMH Power Index48.4

103.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

113.6Defensive Efficiency103.7

-10.4Net Efficiency3.5

0.7Strength of Schedule-1.9

-10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.0Tempo72.4

48.7%Effective FG%52.3%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.7%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.0%Free Throw Rate41.5%

-7.3Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–38.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.2), defensive efficiency (103.7–113.6), net efficiency (3.5–-10.4).

Pepperdine COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-1.9), offensive rebounding (31.1–26.7).

Final

Pepperdine

78—79

UC Davis

UC Davis by 1 • 73.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PepperdineTEAM STATUC Davis

28-50FG26-48

56.0%FG%54.0%

4-143PT4-9

29.0%3PT%44.0%

18-25FT23-36

72.0%FT%64.0%

32Rebounds22

7Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists12

19Turnovers12

6Steals10

1Blocks1

27Fouls24

Player Box Score

Pepperdine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	40	7-13	0-1	4-5	14	2	1	0	18
Houston Mallette	G	26	6-9	1-3	5-5	3	1	1	0	18
Malik Messina-Moore	G	37	5-12	2-5	3-4	2	3	1	0	15
Jalen Pitre	F	28	4-7	0-2	1-5	5	2	1	1	9
Nils Cooper	G	22	2-2	1-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	6
Ethan Anderson	Guard	20	3-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Cord Stansberry	G	16	1-2	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	0	6
Aladji Gassama	Center	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Curtis Williams	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	33	11-18	0-2	6-12	3	2	3	0	28
Elijah Pepper	Guard	37	8-14	2-2	6-7	0	0	0	1	24
Niko Rocak	F	21	3-3	1-1	2-4	4	1	1	0	9
Kane Milling	Guard	39	2-5	1-2	3-7	6	3	4	0	8
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	23	1-3	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	0	6
Ade Adebayo	Forward	25	0-3	0-0	2-2	6	4	1	0	2
Sam Manu	Forward	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Pablo Tamba	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Sione Lose	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.0Possessions73.0

106.8Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency106.8

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

60.0%Effective FG%58.3%

63.0%True Shooting %60.7%

25.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

50.0%Free Throw Rate75.0%

28.0%3-Point Rate18.8%

0.47Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 73.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.