American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.4%American University

75.6%William & Mary

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWilliam & Mary -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWilliam & Mary -310

William & Mary

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 74

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreWilliam & Mary 82

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricWilliam & Mary

48.2MMH Power Index53.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency112.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency105.2

4.8Net Efficiency7.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule-1.5

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

67.5Tempo73.9

52.6%Effective FG%55.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

30.1%Free Throw Rate45.3%

3.3Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

William & Mary HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWilliam & Mary holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (112.5–110.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–105.8), net efficiency (7.3–4.8).

American University COUNTERS WITHball security (15.7–16.4), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.7).

Final

American University

56—75

William & Mary

William & Mary by 19 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATWilliam & Mary

22-60FG22-45

37.0%FG%49.0%

5-273PT7-20

19.0%3PT%35.0%

7-10FT24-32

70.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists11

12Turnovers14

7Steals5

1Blocks—

26Fouls16

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	12	5-9	0-0	2-3	5	0	0	0	12
Matt Mayock	F	17	3-5	2-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Lorenzo Donadio	Guard	29	3-7	1-3	0-0	6	2	2	0	7
Geoff Sprouse	G	25	2-8	2-8	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Elijah Stephens	Guard	31	3-8	0-3	0-0	4	5	1	0	6
Matt Rogers	Forward	28	2-8	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Lincoln Ball	Guard	28	2-7	0-2	0-0	6	1	2	0	4
Colin Smalls	Guard	18	2-8	0-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Greg Jones	F	11	0-0	0-0	2-3	2	0	1	1	2

William & Mary

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Sean Houpt	Guard	30	4-7	4-6	5-6	1	0	1	17
Gabe Dorsey	Guard	30	2-5	2-4	8-8	9	1	0	14
Trey Moss	G	25	6-11	0-2	2-2	1	0	1	14
Jack Karasinski	F	23	4-6	0-2	1-3	3	0	0	9
Chase Lowe	G	23	2-4	0-0	4-4	4	5	0	8
Matteus Case	Guard	24	2-4	0-2	3-4	5	2	2	7
Caleb Dorsey	Forward	22	1-7	1-4	0-1	6	1	0	3
Charlie Williams	C	13	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	3
Tai Hamilton	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

83.0Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency83.0

-28.1Net Efficiency28.1

40.8%Effective FG%56.7%

43.2%True Shooting %62.3%

18.0%Turnover Rate20.5%

16.7%Free Throw Rate71.1%

45.0%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

William & Mary won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.