East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.4%East Tennessee State

30.6%Elon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -227

Elon

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 79

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreElon 75

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricElon

57.4MMH Power Index45.5

115.1Offensive Efficiency113.0

102.8Defensive Efficiency112.7

12.3Net Efficiency0.3

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.4

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-13.7

67.4Tempo69.1

55.4%Effective FG%52.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %33.4%

35.0%Free Throw Rate34.0%

8.3Average Margin0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–45.5), offensive efficiency (115.1–113.0), defensive efficiency (102.8–112.7), net efficiency (12.3–0.3).

Elon COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.6), offensive rebounding (33.4–28.8).

Final

East Tennessee State

76—79

Elon

Elon by 3 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATElon

29-67FG30-59

43.0%FG%51.0%

9-273PT9-19

33.0%3PT%47.0%

9-11FT10-16

82.0%FT%63.0%

33Rebounds38

11Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists12

12Turnovers16

6Steals6

4Blocks4

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quimari Peterson	G	38	12-23	3-7	2-3	6	4	2	0	29
Jaden Seymour	Forward	32	6-10	3-4	6-6	7	3	0	0	21
Karon Boyd	F	39	4-7	0-1	1-2	8	1	0	1	9
Ebby Asamoah	Guard	24	3-13	3-11	0-0	6	0	1	0	9
Jadyn Parker	Forward	17	2-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	4
Maki Johnson	G	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	4
Justice Smith	Forward	13	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Rice	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Braden Ilic	Forward	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Gabe Sisk	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Mackinnon	G	26	7-10	3-5	0-2	7	3	0	0	17
LA Pratt	G	27	5-8	4-6	0-0	3	3	1	0	14
Deandre Smart	Forward	17	4-5	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	1	11
Nick Dorn	G	18	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Takai Simpkins	G	26	2-8	0-0	4-6	4	2	4	0	8
Rob Higgins	Guard	25	3-5	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Sam Sherry	Forward	13	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	2	5
Zac Ervin	Guard	25	1-6	0-5	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Kendall Campbell	F	10	1-5	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	3
JaDun Michael	Forward	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

103.5Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency103.5

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

50.0%Effective FG%58.5%

52.6%True Shooting %59.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate21.7%

16.4%Free Throw Rate27.1%

40.3%3-Point Rate32.2%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Elon won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.