Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Portland State

65.5%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -190

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 73

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 77

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricUC Santa Barbara

50.2MMH Power Index51.4

109.3Offensive Efficiency113.2

100.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

9.1Net Efficiency7.1

-5.6Strength of Schedule-2.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

70.1Tempo68.5

51.7%Effective FG%54.8%

16.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

6.4Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–50.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–109.3), strength of schedule (-2.0–-5.6), shooting efficiency (54.8–51.7).

Portland State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.2–106.1), net efficiency (9.1–7.1), recent form (0.4–-1.7).

Final

Portland State

82—76

UC Santa Barbara

Portland State by 6 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

30-65FG28-54

46.0%FG%52.0%

4-143PT8-20

29.0%3PT%40.0%

18-22FT12-17

82.0%FT%71.0%

28Rebounds38

8Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists17

7Turnovers18

12Steals3

2Blocks3

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jorell Saterfield	Guard	33	4-12	1-4	5-8	2	0	3	0	14
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	25	5-8	0-0	2-2	8	2	1	0	12
KJ Allen	Forward	25	3-9	0-1	5-5	0	1	1	0	11
Ismail Habib	G	22	4-7	1-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	11
Bobby Harvey	Guard	22	4-9	2-6	0-0	3	1	2	0	10
Isiah Kirby	Guard	17	3-8	0-0	2-2	4	3	1	0	8
Kendall Munson	Forward	18	3-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	1	7
Hunter Woods	Forward	18	2-5	0-1	1-1	1	1	1	0	5
Cole Farrell	G	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Hayden Curtiss	Center	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole Anderson	Guard	36	6-17	3-12	6-6	3	2	1	0	21
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	32	6-9	2-2	2-2	4	5	2	0	16
Yohan Traore	F	24	5-8	0-0	1-5	3	0	0	0	11
Ariel Bland	F	28	4-5	0-0	1-2	13	1	0	1	9
Jason Fontenet II	G	28	2-6	1-4	2-2	3	3	0	1	7
Matija Belic	F	30	2-3	2-2	0-0	4	5	0	0	6
Evans Kipruto	C	22	3-6	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	6

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

111.9Offensive Efficiency103.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency111.9

8.2Net Efficiency-8.2

49.2%Effective FG%59.3%

54.3%True Shooting %61.2%

9.4%Turnover Rate25.0%

33.8%Free Throw Rate31.5%

21.5%3-Point Rate37.0%

1.14Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Portland State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.