Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%Troy

47.1%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -112

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 76

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreOregon State 75

Team Comparison

TroyMetricOregon State

54.1MMH Power Index48.5

112.6Offensive Efficiency105.8

103.9Defensive Efficiency110.3

8.7Net Efficiency-4.5

-2.2Strength of Schedule4.5

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

70.4Tempo67.2

52.1%Effective FG%50.6%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

6.1Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–48.5), offensive efficiency (112.6–105.8), defensive efficiency (103.9–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–-4.5).

Oregon State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.5–-2.2), free throw rate (43.9–36.8).

Final

Troy

80—81

Oregon State

Oregon State by 1 • 90.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATOregon State

24-71FG25-59

34.0%FG%42.0%

10-313PT5-21

32.0%3PT%24.0%

22-29FT26-39

76.0%FT%67.0%

47Rebounds43

16Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists10

23Turnovers21

10Steals8

1Blocks8

33Fouls25

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Thomas Dowd	F	34	7-12	5-7	3-3	8	1	0	0	22
Aamer Muhammad	Guard	44	5-17	3-7	2-4	3	4	2	0	15
Christyon Eugene	Guard	38	3-12	0-4	5-5	7	6	1	0	11
Tayton Conerway	G	20	3-11	1-3	4-5	2	1	2	0	11
Randarius Jones	C	22	3-3	0-0	1-1	6	0	0	1	7
Victor Valdes	F	17	0-3	0-2	6-8	6	0	0	0	6
Jackson Fields	F	22	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	2	0	4
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	18	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Myles Rigsby	G	30	0-6	0-3	1-3	2	1	2	0	1
Randi Ovalle	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dexter Akanno	Guard	48	5-16	2-5	6-10	3	1	2	1	18
Tyler Bilodeau	F	29	7-9	1-2	3-3	12	1	0	2	18
Jordan Pope	G	44	5-18	1-9	5-5	4	2	1	0	16
Christian Wright	Guard	42	5-6	0-0	4-5	3	3	4	0	14
Thomas Ndong	F	26	1-3	1-2	3-4	8	2	0	1	6
Josiah Lake II	G	22	2-4	0-1	1-4	2	1	0	0	5
KC Ibekwe	C	18	0-0	0-0	2-6	1	0	1	0	2
Justin Rochelin	G	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Gavin Marrs	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
Chol Marial	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	0
DaJohn Craig	G	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Stevens	Forward	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

90.2Possessions90.2

88.7Offensive Efficiency89.8

89.8Defensive Efficiency88.7

-1.1Net Efficiency1.1

40.8%Effective FG%46.6%

47.2%True Shooting %52.2%

25.1%Turnover Rate23.7%

40.8%Free Throw Rate66.1%

43.7%3-Point Rate35.6%

0.61Assist / Turnover0.48

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 90.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.