Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.7%Abilene Christian

92.3%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -16.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -1199

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 68

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreNC State 85

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricNC State

42.4MMH Power Index60.1

101.1Offensive Efficiency118.4

104.1Defensive Efficiency108.6

-3.0Net Efficiency9.8

-1.4Strength of Schedule6.4

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

69.6Tempo70.2

48.9%Effective FG%55.1%

20.6%Turnover Rate13.1%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

42.0%Free Throw Rate35.7%

-2.1Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–42.4), offensive efficiency (118.4–101.1), net efficiency (9.8–-3.0), strength of schedule (6.4–-1.4).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.1–108.6), recent form (-5.3–-11.9), offensive rebounding (32.4–28.2).

Final

Abilene Christian

64—84

NC State

NC State by 20 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATNC State

20-57FG29-62

35.0%FG%47.0%

5-173PT6-22

29.0%3PT%27.0%

19-27FT20-24

70.0%FT%83.0%

36Rebounds39

16Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists12

11Turnovers8

4Steals4

3Blocks3

19Fouls20

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Immanuel Allen	Guard	21	3-6	1-3	4-4	1	1	3	0	11
Cameron Steele	Forward	19	3-6	2-2	0-0	2	1	0	2	8
Ali Dibba	G	21	2-6	0-0	3-5	3	0	0	0	7
Airion Simmons	Forward	18	3-7	0-2	1-3	1	2	0	0	7
Leonardo Bettiol	F	12	3-4	0-0	1-2	2	2	0	1	7
JV Seat	G	17	1-6	0-1	3-4	4	0	0	0	5
Kavion McClain	F	25	1-4	0-2	2-2	2	3	0	0	4
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	17	1-3	0-1	2-2	6	2	1	0	4
Colby Tanner	Guard	2	1-1	1-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	4
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Aidan Igiehon	Forward	17	0-6	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Muodubem Muoneke	Guard	10	1-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Yaniel Rivera	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Taylor	Guard	28	5-12	3-4	9-9	2	2	2	1	22
Casey Morsell	Guard	30	6-14	1-4	3-4	3	3	0	1	16
DJ Horne	Guard	24	6-11	2-5	1-1	2	0	1	0	15
DJ Burns	Forward	30	6-9	0-1	0-0	7	4	0	0	12
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	22	2-3	0-0	5-7	11	0	0	0	9
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	14	2-3	0-1	1-1	4	0	0	0	5
Michael O'Connell	Guard	17	1-3	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Breon Pass	Guard	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	14	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	1	1
Ernest Ross	Forward	5	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
KJ Keatts	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Snell	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

96.8Offensive Efficiency127.1

127.1Defensive Efficiency96.8

-30.3Net Efficiency30.3

39.5%Effective FG%51.6%

45.8%True Shooting %57.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate11.9%

47.4%Free Throw Rate38.7%

29.8%3-Point Rate35.5%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

NC State won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.