Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.2%Samford

85.8%VCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -12.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.3

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -604

VCU

28-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 72

Projected Total156.3

Projected ScoreVCU 85

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricVCU

54.1MMH Power Index65.7

113.5Offensive Efficiency116.4

108.3Defensive Efficiency103.3

5.2Net Efficiency13.1

-2.9Strength of Schedule5.4

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.0

69.5Tempo69.5

54.0%Effective FG%53.7%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

42.5%Free Throw Rate42.9%

3.6Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–54.1), offensive efficiency (116.4–113.5), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.3), net efficiency (13.1–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–6.0), shooting efficiency (54.0–53.7), ball security (13.3–15.1).

Final

Samford

65—75

VCU

VCU by 10 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATVCU

23-66FG25-51

35.0%FG%49.0%

8-263PT5-18

31.0%3PT%28.0%

11-14FT20-25

79.0%FT%80.0%

34Rebounds40

17Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists13

16Turnovers21

12Steals15

2Blocks6

24Fouls16

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jermaine Marshall	Forward	31	8-14	4-6	0-0	10	3	4	0	20
AJ Staton-McCray	G	32	7-17	0-3	2-4	4	0	3	0	16
Achor Achor	F	14	2-6	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	1	6
Rylan Jones	Guard	22	1-9	1-6	2-2	5	2	1	0	5
Josh Holloway	G	16	1-3	1-2	2-2	0	4	0	0	5
Jaden Campbell	Guard	18	1-7	0-3	2-2	0	2	1	0	4
Chandler Leopard	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Lukas Walls	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Dallas Graziani	Guard	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Garrett Hicks	Guard	18	0-3	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Riley Allenspach	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Nathan Johnson	Forward	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Shulga	Guard	35	5-9	4-7	3-4	4	3	2	0	17
Zeb Jackson	Guard	37	5-9	1-4	2-2	4	7	4	0	13
Jason Nelson	G	31	4-10	0-4	3-4	2	1	6	0	11
Christian Fermin	F	24	4-8	0-0	2-3	10	0	0	5	10
Tobi Lawal	F	20	4-5	0-0	1-2	9	1	1	0	9
Michael Belle	F	26	1-3	0-0	5-6	3	0	1	0	7
Alphonzo Billups III	G	18	2-7	0-3	2-2	3	1	1	1	6
Kuany Kuany	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Roosevelt Wheeler	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

90.5Offensive Efficiency104.5

104.5Defensive Efficiency90.5

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

40.9%Effective FG%53.9%

44.7%True Shooting %59.6%

22.3%Turnover Rate29.2%

21.2%Free Throw Rate49.0%

39.4%3-Point Rate35.3%

0.94Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

VCU won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.