Virginia

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Virginia

84.7%Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida -11.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida -554

Florida

27-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia 73

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreFlorida 84

Team Comparison

VirginiaMetricFlorida

68.9MMH Power Index79.7

119.0Offensive Efficiency120.9

101.8Defensive Efficiency99.3

17.2Net Efficiency21.6

5.2Strength of Schedule7.1

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency24.2

67.6Tempo72.0

55.0%Effective FG%54.2%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %42.8%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.8%

11.6Average Margin15.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (79.7–68.9), offensive efficiency (120.9–119.0), defensive efficiency (99.3–101.8), net efficiency (21.6–17.2).

Virginia COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.0–54.2), ball security (16.0–16.3).

Final

Virginia

73—70

Florida

Virginia by 3 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VirginiaTEAM STATFlorida

26-58FG26-65

45.0%FG%40.0%

7-183PT7-25

39.0%3PT%28.0%

14-24FT11-15

58.0%FT%73.0%

30Rebounds47

9Offensive Rebounds21

15Assists16

6Turnovers16

15Steals4

2Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Blake Buchanan	F	27	4-7	0-0	10-16	7	1	0	0	18
Reece Beekman	Guard	34	5-13	2-4	1-4	3	5	3	1	13
Jacob Groves	Forward	16	4-7	2-3	2-2	0	2	1	0	12
Isaac McKneely	G	35	3-10	2-4	1-2	6	1	0	1	9
Andrew Rohde	G	36	3-6	1-3	0-0	2	2	2	0	7
Ryan Dunn	Forward	33	3-7	0-3	0-0	8	2	7	0	6
Dante Harris	G	15	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	2	2	0	6
Leon Bond III	G	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Will Richard	Guard	31	4-10	4-7	4-4	1	1	1	0	16
Riley Kugel	G	34	6-18	1-6	1-3	4	1	1	0	14
Micah Handlogten	C	26	7-10	0-0	0-0	14	2	1	2	14
Walter Clayton Jr.	Guard	35	3-11	1-6	5-6	4	5	0	1	12
Tyrese Samuel	Not Available	32	5-9	0-2	0-0	11	3	1	1	10
Julian Rishwain	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Thomas Haugh	F	11	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	1
Alex Condon	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Denzel Aberdeen	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

109.3Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency109.3

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

50.9%Effective FG%45.4%

52.6%True Shooting %48.5%

9.0%Turnover Rate23.8%

41.4%Free Throw Rate23.1%

31.0%3-Point Rate38.5%

2.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Virginia won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.