Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.3%Idaho State

88.7%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -785

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 70

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 85

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

45.9MMH Power Index59.8

111.0Offensive Efficiency116.8

113.4Defensive Efficiency102.2

-2.4Net Efficiency14.6

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.6

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

67.1Tempo70.0

52.2%Effective FG%59.2%

16.5%Turnover Rate13.9%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%

-1.6Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.8–111.0), defensive efficiency (102.2–113.4), net efficiency (14.6–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.6), offensive rebounding (33.9–22.1), free throw rate (39.1–35.2).

Final

Idaho State

53—54

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 1 • 59.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

23-49FG21-54

47.0%FG%39.0%

1-73PT1-12

14.0%3PT%8.0%

6-10FT11-18

60.0%FT%61.0%

30Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds14

7Assists9

14Turnovers11

7Steals4

1Blocks1

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Griffin	F	31	6-8	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	0	12
Miguel Tomley	Guard	33	5-8	0-1	1-2	4	3	2	0	11
Kiree Huie	F	32	4-9	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	8
Brayden Parker	Center	26	4-6	0-0	0-1	6	0	1	0	8
Maleek Arington	G	24	2-7	0-1	3-4	1	3	2	0	7
Trent Johnson	F	31	2-8	1-4	0-1	1	0	0	1	5
AJ Burgin	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Kolton Mitchell	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parker Bjorklund	Forward	34	9-17	0-0	3-5	12	1	0	0	21
Raheem Anthony	Guard	31	7-12	1-3	4-5	9	3	1	0	19
Kendall Blue	G	32	3-6	0-2	1-4	4	2	0	0	7
Drake Dobbs	Guard	29	1-5	0-3	1-2	0	1	1	0	3
Carter Bjerke	F	7	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Ryan Dufault	G	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Brooks Allen	Forward	29	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	1	0
Dom Martinelli	Guard	14	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ben Nau	Guard	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ahjany Lee	F	7	0-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.7Possessions59.7

88.8Offensive Efficiency90.5

90.5Defensive Efficiency88.8

-1.7Net Efficiency1.7

48.0%Effective FG%39.8%

49.3%True Shooting %43.2%

23.4%Turnover Rate18.5%

20.4%Free Throw Rate33.3%

14.3%3-Point Rate22.2%

0.50Assist / Turnover0.82

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 59.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.