Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.8%Dayton

50.2%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -101

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 72

Projected Total145.1

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 73

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricNorthwestern

59.9MMH Power Index55.4

108.5Offensive Efficiency111.6

101.5Defensive Efficiency109.8

7.0Net Efficiency1.8

5.7Strength of Schedule5.6

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

68.3Tempo65.6

52.0%Effective FG%51.9%

16.9%Turnover Rate13.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

47.6%Free Throw Rate34.8%

4.8Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–55.4), defensive efficiency (101.5–109.8), net efficiency (7.0–1.8), strength of schedule (5.7–5.6).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.6–108.5), ball security (13.0–16.9), offensive rebounding (28.2–26.7).

Final

Dayton

66—71

Northwestern

Northwestern by 5 • 57.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATNorthwestern

21-39FG25-53

54.0%FG%47.0%

12-233PT5-14

52.0%3PT%36.0%

12-15FT16-20

80.0%FT%80.0%

21Rebounds27

3Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists14

15Turnovers7

3Steals9

1Blocks1

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	38	5-7	2-3	5-6	7	6	0	0	17
Koby Brea	Guard	25	5-8	4-6	1-1	2	0	0	0	15
Javon Bennett	G	36	4-8	3-6	1-2	1	5	1	0	12
Nate Santos	Forward	36	3-5	2-4	3-4	5	1	1	1	11
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	31	4-6	1-1	0-0	4	3	1	0	9
Kobe Elvis	Guard	23	0-5	0-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Petras Padegimas	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Jack	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Langborg	Guard	39	6-9	2-4	5-6	2	2	1	0	19
Boo Buie	Guard	32	5-9	1-2	4-4	0	4	1	0	15
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	39	5-12	0-2	3-4	10	3	2	1	13
Nick Martinelli	F	19	4-6	0-0	1-1	1	0	4	0	9
Ty Berry	Guard	26	3-8	2-6	0-0	5	0	0	0	8
Matthew Nicholson	Center	24	1-4	0-0	2-2	3	3	0	0	4
Blake Preston	Forward	15	1-5	0-0	1-3	4	1	1	0	3
Jordan Clayton	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

57.8Possessions57.8

114.2Offensive Efficiency122.8

122.8Defensive Efficiency114.2

-8.7Net Efficiency8.7

69.2%Effective FG%51.9%

71.5%True Shooting %56.8%

25.8%Turnover Rate12.2%

38.5%Free Throw Rate37.7%

59.0%3-Point Rate26.4%

1.07Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 57.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.