Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.6%Texas State

85.4%Miami (OH)

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami (OH) -13.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami (OH) -585

Miami (OH)

32-2

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreMiami (OH) 86

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricMiami (OH)

49.4MMH Power Index60.7

107.7Offensive Efficiency123.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency103.7

4.3Net Efficiency19.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule-5.6

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

68.6Tempo72.8

51.3%Effective FG%60.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate14.2%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate40.1%

2.9Average Margin14.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami (OH) HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami (OH) holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.7–49.4), offensive efficiency (123.1–107.7), net efficiency (19.4–4.3), shooting efficiency (60.6–51.3).

Texas State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.4–103.7), strength of schedule (-4.7–-5.6), recent form (9.1–5.5).

Final

Texas State

75—65

Miami (OH)

Texas State by 10 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATMiami (OH)

29-63FG20-48

46.0%FG%42.0%

6-153PT5-18

40.0%3PT%28.0%

11-21FT20-28

52.0%FT%71.0%

44Rebounds26

20Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists10

17Turnovers14

9Steals8

4Blocks5

27Fouls18

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	27	8-11	3-3	0-1	8	1	1	1	19
Kaden Gumbs	G	34	6-12	1-3	1-2	4	3	2	0	14
Brandon Love	Forward	31	5-11	0-0	3-8	6	2	2	2	13
Christian Turner	Forward	33	5-8	0-0	2-3	5	0	1	0	12
Dylan Dawson	Guard	26	2-7	1-5	2-3	2	3	1	0	7
Elijah Tate	Guard	19	2-6	1-3	2-2	5	3	0	0	7
Chris Nix	Forward	8	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	2
Dontae Horne	G	17	0-4	0-1	1-2	1	2	1	0	1
Joshua O'Garro	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Miami (OH)

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darweshi Hunter	Guard	34	7-14	2-7	5-6	4	1	1	0	21
Jaquel Morris	F	30	5-6	0-0	2-3	8	1	0	2	12
Mekhi Cooper	G	25	3-5	1-1	4-6	4	1	0	0	11
Bradley Dean	Guard	16	1-3	1-2	4-4	3	1	2	0	7
Evan Ipsaro	G	29	2-7	0-2	2-3	1	2	1	0	6
Ryan Mabrey	G	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	1	2	3
Eian Elmer	G	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Bryce Bultman	Forward	34	0-5	0-2	1-2	3	4	1	1	1
Jackson Kotecki	F	6	0-1	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Hampton Dauparas	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

107.6Offensive Efficiency93.3

93.3Defensive Efficiency107.6

14.3Net Efficiency-14.3

50.8%Effective FG%46.9%

51.4%True Shooting %53.0%

24.3%Turnover Rate20.2%

33.3%Free Throw Rate58.3%

23.8%3-Point Rate37.5%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Texas State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.