Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Georgia State

72.0%Western Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Michigan -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Michigan -257

Western Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 73

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 79

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricWestern Michigan

38.9MMH Power Index42.8

101.3Offensive Efficiency106.9

107.5Defensive Efficiency113.6

-6.2Net Efficiency-6.7

-1.7Strength of Schedule2.0

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

69.5Tempo69.9

45.3%Effective FG%50.3%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

37.4%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-4.3Average Margin-4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.8–38.9), offensive efficiency (106.9–101.3), strength of schedule (2.0–-1.7), recent form (-9.7–-10.9).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–113.6), net efficiency (-6.2–-6.7), ball security (15.6–17.3).

Final

Georgia State

77—70

Western Michigan

Georgia State by 7 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATWestern Michigan

25-55FG21-50

45.0%FG%42.0%

6-193PT7-18

32.0%3PT%39.0%

21-29FT21-33

72.0%FT%64.0%

35Rebounds36

15Offensive Rebounds16

5Assists6

15Turnovers16

8Steals5

3Blocks1

29Fouls23

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Taylor	Guard	33	9-14	4-8	5-5	2	0	0	0	27
Dwon Odom	Guard	25	6-8	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	12
Leslie Nkereuwem	Forward	19	0-5	0-0	10-12	3	0	2	1	10
Toneari Lane	G	28	3-9	0-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	8
Rickey Bradley Jr.	G	16	2-3	1-2	1-3	4	1	2	0	6
Jay'Den Turner	Forward	31	2-5	0-3	1-2	7	2	2	1	5
Julian Mackey	G	7	1-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ed Nnamoko	F	19	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	1	2
Brenden Tucker	Guard	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jamaine Mann	Guard	9	1-3	0-2	0-3	2	0	1	0	2

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	37	2-6	0-1	8-10	2	2	0	0	12
Titus Wright	Center	19	4-6	0-0	4-6	5	0	0	1	12
Seth Hubbard	G	28	4-11	2-5	1-2	2	1	2	0	11
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	25	3-7	2-5	3-4	5	0	0	0	11
Brandon Muntu	G	36	3-9	3-5	0-0	1	0	1	0	9
Max Burton	F	9	1-2	0-0	4-6	2	0	0	0	6
Markhi Strickland	G	22	2-4	0-1	1-3	7	1	0	0	5
Anthony Crump	Forward	24	2-5	0-1	0-2	7	2	2	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

114.4Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency114.4

10.4Net Efficiency-10.4

50.9%Effective FG%49.0%

56.0%True Shooting %53.3%

21.8%Turnover Rate24.4%

52.7%Free Throw Rate66.0%

34.5%3-Point Rate36.0%

0.33Assist / Turnover0.38

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.