South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%South Alabama

57.9%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -138

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 74

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreBuffalo 77

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricBuffalo

51.4MMH Power Index49.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency114.9

103.9Defensive Efficiency112.2

6.4Net Efficiency2.7

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.0

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

67.4Tempo67.9

53.2%Effective FG%56.1%

12.8%Turnover Rate16.1%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

39.8%Free Throw Rate40.4%

4.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.7), defensive efficiency (103.9–112.2), net efficiency (6.4–2.7), recent form (3.4–-5.9).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–110.3), strength of schedule (0.0–-3.7), shooting efficiency (56.1–53.2).

Final

South Alabama

70—56

Buffalo

South Alabama by 14 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATBuffalo

28-49FG20-55

57.0%FG%36.0%

4-143PT4-21

29.0%3PT%19.0%

10-16FT12-20

63.0%FT%60.0%

36Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists15

16Turnovers15

6Steals11

2Blocks2

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Millender	G	32	7-9	1-2	0-3	4	4	3	0	15
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	23	4-7	0-1	5-6	1	0	1	0	13
Maxwell Land	G	38	5-9	2-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	12
Judah Brown	Forward	25	3-6	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	7
Thomas Howell	Forward	25	3-5	0-0	0-0	10	2	0	1	6
Samuel Tabe	Guard	16	2-2	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	6
Marshall Kearing	Forward	15	3-6	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Tyrell Jones	Guard	26	1-5	0-1	3-5	7	0	1	0	5

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	36	6-13	1-4	3-7	8	2	3	1	16
Kanye Jones	G	31	4-12	0-3	6-8	6	5	0	0	14
Ryan Sabol	G	28	2-6	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Isaiah Adams	Guard	21	2-8	1-6	0-0	0	3	0	0	5
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	22	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	1	2	0	4
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	20	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Bryson Wilson	G	15	1-3	0-1	1-3	1	1	2	0	3
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	2	0	2
Zaakir Williamson	F	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

101.3Offensive Efficiency81.0

81.0Defensive Efficiency101.3

20.3Net Efficiency-20.3

61.2%Effective FG%40.0%

61.8%True Shooting %43.4%

23.3%Turnover Rate21.6%

32.7%Free Throw Rate36.4%

28.6%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.