Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.1%Illinois State

86.9%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -14.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -663

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 69

Projected Total152.4

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 83

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricSaint Louis

54.3MMH Power Index66.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency120.8

101.4Defensive Efficiency97.6

9.2Net Efficiency23.2

1.0Strength of Schedule0.3

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

67.5Tempo72.2

54.3%Effective FG%59.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.1%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

32.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

6.2Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–54.3), offensive efficiency (120.8–110.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–101.4), net efficiency (23.2–9.2).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.0–0.3), ball security (16.8–17.1).

Final

Illinois State

71—80

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 9 • 77.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATSaint Louis

24-61FG22-52

39.0%FG%42.0%

9-293PT6-21

31.0%3PT%29.0%

14-22FT30-37

64.0%FT%81.0%

39Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds3

9Assists8

15Turnovers10

3Steals6

1Blocks3

27Fouls19

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	30	4-11	2-6	9-12	6	2	0	0	19
Dalton Banks	Guard	39	7-16	3-7	0-2	4	3	0	0	17
Myles Foster	Forward	21	4-9	0-2	2-4	7	3	1	1	10
Johnny Kinziger	G	30	3-5	2-3	0-0	4	0	1	0	8
Brandon Lieb	F	18	3-9	0-3	0-0	12	1	0	0	6
Kendall Lewis	Forward	9	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Jordan Davis	Guard	11	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Luke Kasubke	Guard	20	0-4	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Ty Pence	G	22	0-2	0-2	1-2	3	0	1	0	1

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	36	2-7	1-3	15-17	5	1	0	0	20
Sincere Parker	G	30	8-17	2-5	1-2	9	2	0	0	19
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	33	3-8	1-4	5-6	3	1	2	2	12
Tim Dalger	Forward	22	4-8	0-2	3-5	4	0	2	0	11
Larry Hughes II	G	23	2-6	2-5	2-2	2	0	1	0	8
Bruce Zhang	Center	7	2-3	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	5
Cian Medley	G	20	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	2	0	0	2
Michael Meadows Jr.	Guard	19	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kellen Thames	G	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	2	1	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

77.1Possessions77.1

92.1Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.8Defensive Efficiency92.1

-11.7Net Efficiency11.7

46.7%Effective FG%48.1%

49.7%True Shooting %57.5%

19.4%Turnover Rate13.1%

36.1%Free Throw Rate71.2%

47.5%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.60Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 77.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.