Elon

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Elon

57.7%North Dakota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota -136

North Dakota

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreElon 78

Projected Total158.1

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota 80

Team Comparison

ElonMetricNorth Dakota

45.5MMH Power Index43.7

113.0Offensive Efficiency109.2

112.7Defensive Efficiency110.2

0.3Net Efficiency-1.0

-1.4Strength of Schedule-3.4

-13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.2

69.1Tempo70.1

52.6%Effective FG%50.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.0%

33.4%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

34.0%Free Throw Rate37.5%

0.3Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Elon HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMElon holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–43.7), offensive efficiency (113.0–109.2), net efficiency (0.3–-1.0), strength of schedule (-1.4–-3.4).

North Dakota COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.2–112.7), recent form (-7.2–-13.7), ball security (14.0–15.6).

Final

Elon

68—85

North Dakota

North Dakota by 17 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ElonTEAM STATNorth Dakota

21-56FG30-62

38.0%FG%48.0%

9-213PT8-24

43.0%3PT%33.0%

17-24FT17-23

71.0%FT%74.0%

35Rebounds38

12Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists13

17Turnovers8

4Steals10

2Blocks6

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Elon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Mackinnon	G	21	7-11	3-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	17
Takai Simpkins	G	21	3-10	1-4	3-7	3	2	1	0	10
Rob Higgins	Guard	28	3-7	1-1	2-3	3	2	1	0	9
Sam Sherry	Forward	21	1-5	1-1	3-4	8	0	0	0	6
LA Pratt	G	19	2-5	2-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	6
Zac Ervin	Guard	15	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Nick Dorn	G	19	2-9	0-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
JaDun Michael	Forward	13	0-2	0-1	3-4	4	1	0	0	3
Isaac Harrell	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Kendall Campbell	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Ned Hull	G	5	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Austin Williams	G	1	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Deandre Smart	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Otto Luessenhop	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Dakota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Treysen Eaglestaff	G	35	9-17	5-12	3-4	3	2	2	2	26
BJ Omot	F	38	6-15	0-5	9-10	10	1	0	1	21
Tsotne Tsartsidze	Forward	31	6-10	1-1	3-6	4	2	0	0	16
Amar Kuljuhovic	G	16	4-5	0-0	0-1	8	0	1	0	8
Elijah Brooks	G	23	2-2	0-0	2-2	3	2	1	0	6
Brady Danielson	Forward	22	2-5	2-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	6
Eli King	G	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	4	1	3	2
Deng Mayar	F	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	3	0	0
Mambourou Mara	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

96.2Offensive Efficiency120.2

120.2Defensive Efficiency96.2

-24.0Net Efficiency24.0

45.5%Effective FG%54.8%

50.4%True Shooting %58.3%

23.5%Turnover Rate11.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate37.1%

37.5%3-Point Rate38.7%

0.65Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

North Dakota won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.