Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%Lafayette

58.7%Pepperdine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPepperdine -2.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPepperdine -142

Pepperdine

9-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 73

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScorePepperdine 76

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricPepperdine

39.6MMH Power Index38.2

102.9Offensive Efficiency103.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency113.6

-7.4Net Efficiency-10.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule0.7

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-10.3

67.5Tempo70.0

49.4%Effective FG%48.7%

15.4%Turnover Rate18.3%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

33.0%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-5.0Average Margin-7.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–38.2), defensive efficiency (110.3–113.6), net efficiency (-7.4–-10.4), recent form (-6.4–-10.3).

Pepperdine COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (103.2–102.9), strength of schedule (0.7–-1.4), offensive rebounding (31.1–25.7).

Final

Lafayette

53—76

Pepperdine

Pepperdine by 23 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATPepperdine

19-54FG30-63

35.0%FG%48.0%

5-193PT7-18

26.0%3PT%39.0%

10-15FT9-13

67.0%FT%69.0%

29Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists14

15Turnovers13

11Steals7

6Blocks3

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	19	5-10	1-2	3-4	5	1	1	1	14
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	31	4-6	0-1	0-0	2	3	2	2	8
Ryan Pettit	G	17	3-4	2-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	8
Eric Sondberg	Guard	19	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Chris Rubayo	F	16	2-6	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	2	6
Andrew Phillips	G	11	2-4	0-1	0-1	2	1	0	0	4
Mark Butler	G	20	0-4	0-3	2-4	1	3	2	0	2
Luka Savicevic	G	14	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Misha Bednostin	C	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Devin Hines	G	15	0-4	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Luke Rasmussen	G	16	0-3	0-1	0-0	5	0	3	1	0
Jon Brantley	Guard	9	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	2	2	0	0
Joshua Wyche	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Thompson	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Pepperdine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	33	11-19	4-4	1-1	11	3	1	1	27
Malik Messina-Moore	G	31	4-6	1-2	6-6	3	4	1	0	15
Houston Mallette	G	27	4-12	1-3	1-2	4	3	2	0	10
Cord Stansberry	G	14	4-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Ethan Anderson	Guard	24	3-9	0-2	0-2	3	4	0	0	6
Jalen Pitre	F	20	2-6	0-3	1-2	5	0	2	2	5
Aladji Gassama	Center	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Paul Jordan	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Nils Cooper	G	17	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Curtis Williams	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
John Squire	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
David Mager	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

76.0Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency76.0

-33.0Net Efficiency33.0

39.8%Effective FG%53.2%

43.4%True Shooting %54.9%

21.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

27.8%Free Throw Rate20.6%

35.2%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Pepperdine won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.