Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%Chicago State

65.5%Southern Indiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Indiana -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Indiana -190

Southern Indiana

7-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 66

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreSouthern Indiana 73

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricSouthern Indiana

36.1MMH Power Index37.3

99.4Offensive Efficiency99.2

114.9Defensive Efficiency106.5

-15.5Net Efficiency-7.3

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.0

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.1

66.2Tempo66.7

45.6%Effective FG%45.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.4%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %32.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-10.3Average Margin-4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Indiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Indiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (37.3–36.1), defensive efficiency (106.5–114.9), net efficiency (-7.3–-15.5), offensive rebounding (32.2–29.1).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (99.4–99.2), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.0), recent form (-4.3–-14.1).

Final

Chicago State

78—67

Southern Indiana

Chicago State by 11 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATSouthern Indiana

27-64FG24-57

42.0%FG%42.0%

7-213PT4-18

33.0%3PT%22.0%

17-22FT15-22

77.0%FT%68.0%

37Rebounds40

13Offensive Rebounds14

15Assists12

11Turnovers21

12Steals7

3Blocks1

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	38	9-17	1-3	2-4	5	3	3	0	21
Jahsean Corbett	Guard	34	5-9	2-2	6-8	6	2	0	0	18
Brent Davis	Guard	28	6-11	2-6	2-2	4	2	5	0	16
Kedrick Green	Guard	33	4-11	0-3	2-2	4	8	4	0	10
A.J. Neal Jr.	G	13	2-6	1-3	4-4	1	0	0	0	9
Deshawn Jean-Charles	G	35	1-10	1-4	1-2	7	0	0	1	4
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Noble Crawford	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Tristan Arneaud	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Indiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Smith	F	37	6-14	0-3	9-10	16	3	1	0	21
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	19	7-12	1-3	3-3	3	0	3	0	18
Jack Mielke	Forward	33	4-9	2-6	0-0	4	0	0	0	10
Nolan Causwell	Forward	13	2-4	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	5
Kiyron Powell	Center	22	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	4
Jack Campion	G	20	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	5	0	0	3
Jordan Tillmon	Guard	18	1-6	0-3	1-2	0	0	1	0	3
Ryan Hall	Guard	15	1-6	0-2	1-4	4	0	1	0	3
Sam Mervis	Guard	17	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	3	1	0	0
Javius Moore	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Luther Smith Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

106.1Offensive Efficiency91.2

91.2Defensive Efficiency106.1

15.0Net Efficiency-15.0

47.7%Effective FG%45.6%

52.4%True Shooting %49.7%

15.2%Turnover Rate28.2%

34.4%Free Throw Rate38.6%

32.8%3-Point Rate31.6%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.